Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.36
Sabadell vs Real Murcia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Murcia travel to face Sabadell on Sunday 3 May in the Primera División RFEF Group 2, with Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta the venue – the ball rolls at 17:15 WAT.
Current form
Sabadell, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Real Betis II, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Real Murcia, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Europa Fc, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Real Murcia, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Sabadell.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sabadell 1.3 xG, Real Murcia 0.8 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sabadell 52%, draw 27%, Real Murcia 21%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sabadell 1–1 Real Murcia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sabadell52%fair 1.94 · @1.70
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @3.30
Real Murcia21%fair 4.67 · @4.75
2.09Expected goals
1.28Sabadell xG
0.82Real Murcia xG
50%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–113%
0–012%
0–110%
2–010%
2–18%
From our goals model: Sabadell 1.3 – 0.8 Real Murcia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sabadell
Real Murcia
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average
-2%
-14%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
-29%
Our expected goals here
1.15
0.90
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sabadell to win
52%
1.94
1.70
Double chance
Sabadell or draw
79%
1.27
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
50%
1.99
1.57
Draw no bet
Sabadell (draw no bet)
71%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Real Murcia +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
63%
1.58
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
63%
1.59
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Sabadell to score first
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sabadell / FT Sabadell
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
16%
6.36
–
Recent results
Sabadell – last 6
LDDDWL
5 Apr
vs Real Betis II
1–3
L
29 Mar
@ Villarreal II
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Gimnastic
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ FC Cartagena
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Sanluqueño
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Ibiza
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Real Murcia – last 6
WLWWLD
26 Apr
@ Europa Fc
2–0
W
17 Apr
vs Antequera
2–3
L
5 Apr
vs Atlético Madrid II
2–1
W
29 Mar
@ Sevilla Atletico
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Hércules
0–2
L
11 Mar
vs Marbella
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sabadell and Real Murcia.
What is the prediction for Sabadell vs Real Murcia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Sabadell vs Real Murcia?
On our numbers Sabadell have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Real Murcia 21%.
How many goals will there be in Sabadell vs Real Murcia?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sabadell vs Real Murcia?
Our predicted score is Sabadell 1–1 Real Murcia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Sabadell vs Real Murcia?
Sabadell vs Real Murcia (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tarazona0
Sanluqueño
Eldense
Marbella