Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTeruel to win ✗38% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗70% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗6% · fair 15.46
Teruel vs Tarazona: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Teruel welcome Tarazona to Pinilla for a Primera División RFEF Group 2 fixture on Sunday 3 May (11:00 WAT).
Current form
Teruel, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Atlético Madrid II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Tarazona, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Eldense, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Teruel, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Tarazona.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Teruel 1.0 xG, Tarazona 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Teruel 38%, draw 30%, Tarazona 33%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Teruel 0–0 Tarazona. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Teruel38%fair 2.65 · @2.25
Draw30%fair 3.36 · @2.95
Tarazona33%fair 3.07 · @3.10
1.87Expected goals
0.96Teruel xG
0.91Tarazona xG
50%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–015%
1–015%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
2–16%
From our goals model: Teruel 1.0 – 0.9 Tarazona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Teruel
Tarazona
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average
-45%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
+4%
-1%
Our expected goals here
0.90
0.92
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Teruel to win✗
38%
2.65
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
70%
1.42
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Teruel (draw no bet)
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Tarazona +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Teruel to score first✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
6%
15.46
–
Recent results
Teruel – last 6
DWDDWW
19 Apr
vs Atlético Madrid II
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Villarreal II
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Algeciras
0–0
D
25 Feb
@ Juventud Torremolinos
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Ibiza
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Sevilla Atletico
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Tarazona – last 5
LLDLW
29 Mar
vs Eldense
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Atlético Madrid II
1–4
L
8 Mar
vs FC Cartagena
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Ibiza
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Sevilla Atletico
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Teruel and Tarazona.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Teruel vs Tarazona?
On our numbers Teruel have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Tarazona 33%.
How many goals will there be in Teruel vs Tarazona?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Teruel vs Tarazona?
Our predicted score is Teruel 0–0 Tarazona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Teruel vs Tarazona?
Teruel vs Tarazona (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Pinilla.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sanluqueño
Sabadell
Eldense
Marbella