Juventud Torremolinos vs Atlético Madrid II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atlético Madrid II travel to face Juventud Torremolinos on Sunday 3 May in the Primera División RFEF Group 2, with Estadio Municipal El Pozuelo the venue – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Juventud Torremolinos are 18th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 11 matches; Atlético Madrid II are 15th (lower half) with 11. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Juventud Torremolinos, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Real Betis II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Atlético Madrid II, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Real Betis II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Atlético Madrid II, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Juventud Torremolinos.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Juventud Torremolinos 1.5 xG, Atlético Madrid II 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 51% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Juventud Torremolinos 37%, draw 25%, Atlético Madrid II 38%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juventud Torremolinos 1–1 Atlético Madrid II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Juventud Torremolinos37%fair 2.69 · @2.70
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.10
Atlético Madrid II38%fair 2.63 · @2.45
2.90Expected goals
1.51Juventud Torremolinos xG
1.40Atlético Madrid II xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Juventud Torremolinos 1.5 – 1.4 Atlético Madrid II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Juventud Torremolinos
Atlético Madrid II
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average
-9%
+29%
Goals conceded vs average
+13%
+27%
Our expected goals here
1.92
1.55
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlético Madrid II to win✗
38%
2.63
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.73
Draw no bet
Atlético Madrid II (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Atlético Madrid II +1 (Asian handicap)✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Juventud Torremolinos to score first✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juventud Torremolinos / FT Juventud Torremolinos✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.42
–
Recent results
Juventud Torremolinos – last 6
LLWWDD
19 Apr
vs Real Betis II
1–2
L
12 Apr
@ Ibiza
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Alcorcon
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Europa Fc
3–2
W
25 Feb
vs Teruel
2–2
D
21 Feb
vs Hércules
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Atlético Madrid II – last 6
WDWLWD
24 Apr
vs Real Betis II
3–1
W
19 Apr
@ Teruel
0–0
D
10 Apr
vs Marbella
5–4
W
5 Apr
@ Real Murcia
1–2
L
15 Mar
@ Tarazona
4–1
W
8 Mar
vs Hércules
0–0
D
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juventud Torremolinos and Atlético Madrid II.
What is the prediction for Juventud Torremolinos vs Atlético Madrid II?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Juventud Torremolinos vs Atlético Madrid II?
On our numbers Juventud Torremolinos have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atlético Madrid II 38%.
How many goals will there be in Juventud Torremolinos vs Atlético Madrid II?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juventud Torremolinos vs Atlético Madrid II?
Our predicted score is Juventud Torremolinos 1–1 Atlético Madrid II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Juventud Torremolinos vs Atlético Madrid II?
Juventud Torremolinos vs Atlético Madrid II (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal El Pozuelo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tarazona0
Sanluqueño
Sabadell
Eldense
Marbella