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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ibiza v Sanluqueño: numbers & prediction

Primera División RFEF Group 2 · Spain · Estadi Municipal de Can Misses

Ibiza

LWDLL
Sun 3 May 2026

Sanluqueño

WLL
Ibiza 67%Draw 21%Sanluqueño 13% Expected goals 1.95 – 0.83
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.28

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultIbiza to win67% · @1.33
Double chanceIbiza or draw87% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.22

Ibiza vs Sanluqueño: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ibiza welcome Sanluqueño to Estadi Municipal de Can Misses for a Primera División RFEF Group 2 fixture on Sunday 3 May (16:45 WAT).

Current form

Ibiza, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sevilla Atletico, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Sanluqueño, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Real Murcia, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ibiza 2.0 xG, Sanluqueño 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ibiza 67%, draw 21%, Sanluqueño 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ibiza 2–0 Sanluqueño. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ibiza67%fair 1.50 · @1.33
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @4.33
Sanluqueño13%fair 7.98 · @8.80
2.78Expected goals
1.95Ibiza xG
0.83Sanluqueño xG
51%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%

From our goals model: Ibiza 2.0 – 0.8 Sanluqueño expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

IbizaSanluqueño
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average+7%-5%
Goals conceded vs average-9%-2%
Our expected goals here2.261.16

Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIbiza to win67%1.501.33
Double chanceIbiza or draw87%1.141.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score51%1.952.10 ▲
Draw no betIbiza (draw no bet)84%1.19–
Asian handicapIbiza -0.5 (Asian handicap)64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals75%1.341.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals51%1.951.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals70%1.431.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals85%1.18–
First team to scoreIbiza to score first66%1.52–
Half-time resultIbiza ahead at half-time46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ibiza / FT Ibiza41%2.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.22–

Recent results

Ibiza – last 6

LWDLLW
19 Aprvs Sevilla Atletico0–1L
12 Aprvs Juventud Torremolinos2–1W
5 Apr@ Algeciras0–0D
22 Mar@ Eldense0–3L
15 Marvs Marbella0–1L
1 Marvs Tarazona1–0W
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sanluqueño – last 3

WLL
6 Mar@ Real Murcia1–0W
22 Feb@ Sabadell0–2L
13 Febvs Atlético Madrid II1–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ibiza and Sanluqueño.

Ibiza vs Sanluqueño head-to-head page →

Primera División RFEF Group 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zaragoza11731+924
2Villarreal II11641+1122
3Real Murcia11623+420
4Real Jaén11542+419
5Alcorcon11461+918
6Ibiza11533+418
7Hércules11524-117
8FC Cartagena11443+316
9Real Madrid II11443+216
10Huesca11362015
11Gimnastic11434-115
12Antequera11353+214
13Algeciras11425-114
14Sant Andreu11344013
15Atlético Madrid II11254+111
16Europa Fc11317-1110
17Águilas11164-69
18Juventud Torremolinos11155-98
19Rayo Majadahonda11218-77
20Teruel11146-137

More Primera División RFEF Group 2 predictions

League hub
FT Teruel0 Tarazona0 138%2.25X30%2.95233%3.10 1.0–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 69%@1.40 ✓
FT Juventud Torremolinos3 Atlético Madrid II1 137%2.70X25%3.10238%2.45 1.5–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.35 ✓
FT Villarreal II1 Hércules0 162%1.77X23%3.40215%4.10 1.9–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✗
– Sabadell Real Murcia 152%1.70X27%3.30221%4.75 1.3–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 63%@1.44
– Eldense Marbella 159%1.40X22%4.10219%7.00 1.7–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ibiza vs Sanluqueño?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Ibiza vs Sanluqueño?

On our numbers Ibiza have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sanluqueño 13%.

How many goals will there be in Ibiza vs Sanluqueño?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ibiza vs Sanluqueño?

Our predicted score is Ibiza 2–0 Sanluqueño, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Ibiza vs Sanluqueño?

Ibiza vs Sanluqueño (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Municipal de Can Misses.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.