Bergantiños v Sarriana Prediction & Expected Goals (12 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultBergantiños to win57% · @1.75

Double chanceBergantiños or draw79% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.73

GoalsOver 1.5 goals84% · fair 1.19

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.28

Bergantiños vs Sarriana: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Bergantiños welcome Sarriana to Estadio As Eiroas for a Segunda División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Sunday 12 April (17:15 WAT).

Current form

Bergantiños, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Real Valladolid II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Sarriana, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Numancia, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bergantiños 2.1 xG, Sarriana 1.2 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Bergantiños 57%, draw 22%, Sarriana 21%.
Lower-risk option: Bergantiños or draw (79%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Bergantiños or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bergantiños 2–1 Sarriana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bergantiños57%fair 1.76 · @1.75

Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.40

Sarriana21%fair 4.72 · @4.00

3.29Expected goals

2.06Bergantiños xG

1.23Sarriana xG

59%Both score

64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%

1–19%

2–08%

1–08%

3–17%

2–26%

From our goals model: Bergantiños 2.1 – 1.2 Sarriana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Bergantiños to win	57%	1.76	1.75
Double chance	Bergantiños or draw	79%	1.27	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score	59%	1.69	1.73
Draw no bet	Bergantiños (draw no bet)	73%	1.37	–
Asian handicap	Sarriana +1.5 (Asian handicap)	66%	1.52	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	84%	1.19	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals	64%	1.57	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	58%	1.72	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	76%	1.31	–
First team to score	Bergantiños to score first	60%	1.66	–
Half-time result	Bergantiños ahead at half-time	43%	2.35	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Bergantiños / FT Bergantiños	36%	2.78	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1	10%	10.28	–

Bergantiños – last 6

WLDWLD

5 Apr	@ Real Valladolid II	4–3	W
29 Mar	vs Coruxo	0–1	L
22 Mar	@ Salamanca UDS	0–0	D
15 Mar	vs Lealtad	3–0	W
8 Mar	@ Burgos Promesas	0–1	L
1 Mar	vs Deportivo La Coruña II	2–2	D

1.5Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Sarriana – last 5

DWWLL

29 Mar	@ Numancia	2–2	D
15 Mar	vs Salamanca UDS	1–0	W
1 Mar	vs UD Ourense	3–1	W
22 Feb	@ Coruxo	0–1	L
15 Feb	vs Gimnástica Segoviana	1–2	L

1.4Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

60%Both scored

60%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sestao River	10	8	1	1	+10	25
2	Eibar II	10	6	2	2	+10	20
3	Deportivo Alavés II	10	6	2	2	+9	20
4	Bergantiños	10	5	3	2	+8	18
5	Compostela	10	5	2	3	+4	17
6	Portugalete	10	4	4	2	+3	16
7	Amorebieta	10	5	1	4	+2	16
8	Real Oviedo II	10	4	3	3	-3	15
9	Basconia	10	3	5	2	0	14
10	Ourense CF	10	4	2	4	-3	14
11	Gernika	10	2	6	2	+6	12
12	Racing Santander II	10	3	2	5	-4	11
13	Llanera	10	3	1	6	-8	10
14	Coruxo	10	2	3	5	-4	9
15	Arosa	10	1	5	4	-6	8
16	Marino de Luanco	10	2	2	6	-6	8
17	Atlético Astorga	10	2	1	7	-6	7
18	Gimnástica Torrelavega	10	1	3	6	-12	6

Team

Pts

+10

+10

-3

-3

-4

-8

-4

-6

-6

-6

Gimnástica Torrelavega

-12

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bergantiños vs Sarriana?

Our pick is Bergantiños or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Bergantiños vs Sarriana?

On our numbers Bergantiños have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sarriana 21%.

How many goals will there be in Bergantiños vs Sarriana?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bergantiños vs Sarriana?

Our predicted score is Bergantiños 2–1 Sarriana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Bergantiños vs Sarriana?

Bergantiños vs Sarriana (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio As Eiroas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Bergantiños v Sarriana: numbers & prediction