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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lealtad v Real Valladolid II: numbers & prediction

Segunda División RFEF Group 1 · Spain · Estadio Las Callejas

Lealtad

LLLWL
Sun 12 Apr 2026

Real Valladolid II

LWDLD
Lealtad 40%Draw 26%Real Valladolid II 33% Expected goals 1.65 – 1.28
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.75

5/10Rating
1.75Odds
1

Value bet: Lealtad to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultLealtad to win40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.75

Lealtad vs Real Valladolid II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Real Valladolid II travel to face Lealtad on Sunday 12 April in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1, with Estadio Las Callejas the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.

Current form

Lealtad, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Burgos Promesas, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Real Valladolid II, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Bergantiños, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours Real Valladolid II, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Lealtad.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lealtad 1.6 xG, Real Valladolid II 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lealtad 40%, draw 26%, Real Valladolid II 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: Lealtad to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lealtad 1–1 Real Valladolid II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lealtad40%fair 2.47 · @2.75
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @2.90
Real Valladolid II33%fair 3.01 · @2.45
2.93Expected goals
1.65Lealtad xG
1.28Real Valladolid II xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–07%
1–27%
0–17%

From our goals model: Lealtad 1.6 – 1.3 Real Valladolid II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLealtad to win40%2.472.75 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win74%1.361.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score61%1.641.75 ▲
Draw no betLealtad (draw no bet)55%1.82–
Asian handicapReal Valladolid II +1 (Asian handicap)69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals56%1.79–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals66%1.51–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals83%1.21–
First team to scoreLealtad to score first53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lealtad / FT Lealtad28%3.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.75–

Recent results

Lealtad – last 6

LLLWLL
29 Marvs Burgos Promesas0–2L
22 Mar@ Deportivo La Coruña II1–3L
15 Mar@ Bergantiños0–3L
8 Marvs Gimnástica Segoviana1–0W
1 Mar@ Racing Santander II0–1L
22 Febvs Real Oviedo II1–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Real Valladolid II – last 6

LWDLDW
5 Aprvs Bergantiños3–4L
29 Mar@ Gimnástica Segoviana2–1W
22 Marvs Real Oviedo II2–2D
15 Mar@ Racing Santander II1–4L
22 Febvs Sámano2–2D
15 Feb@ Coruxo2–0W
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Lealtad and Real Valladolid II.

Lealtad vs Real Valladolid II head-to-head page →

More Segunda División RFEF Group 1 predictions

League hub
FT Deportivo La Coruña II3 UD Ourense0 155%1.68X27%3.30218%4.50 1.5–0.8xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 57%@1.65 ✗
FT Racing Santander II3 Atlético Astorga2 159%1.60X22%3.65219%4.60 1.9–1.1xG 1Racing Santander II to win 59%@1.60 ✓
– Burgos Promesas Coruxo 132%4.00X27%3.00241%1.85 1.2–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@2.00
– Langreo Sámano 163%1.11X18%7.00218%41.00 1.7–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 50%@3.70
– Marino de Luanco Real Oviedo II 136%2.62X29%2.75234%2.62 1.1–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.10
– Numancia Real Ávila 157%1.95X24%3.25219%3.30 1.8–0.8xG 1XNumancia or draw 81%@1.25
– Gimnástica Segoviana Salamanca UDS 139%2.15X28%2.80233%3.40 1.3–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@2.15
– Bergantiños Sarriana 157%1.75X22%3.40221%4.00 2.1–1.2xG 1XBergantiños or draw 79%@1.22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lealtad vs Real Valladolid II?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Lealtad vs Real Valladolid II?

On our numbers Lealtad have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Real Valladolid II 33%.

How many goals will there be in Lealtad vs Real Valladolid II?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lealtad vs Real Valladolid II?

Our predicted score is Lealtad 1–1 Real Valladolid II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Lealtad vs Real Valladolid II?

Lealtad vs Real Valladolid II (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Las Callejas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.