Burgos Promesas v Coruxo Prediction & Expected Goals (12 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultCoruxo to win41% · @1.85

Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.33

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @2.00

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · fair 1.26

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–27% · fair 13.88

Burgos Promesas vs Coruxo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 12 April the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 brings Burgos Promesas against Coruxo at Ciudad Deportiva de Castañares. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.

Current form

Burgos Promesas, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Deportivo La Coruña II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Coruxo, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Marino de Luanco, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Burgos Promesas 1.2 xG, Coruxo 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Burgos Promesas 32%, draw 27%, Coruxo 41%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Burgos Promesas to win @4.00 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 32%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.80, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Burgos Promesas 1–1 Coruxo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Burgos Promesas32%fair 3.13 · @4.00

Draw27%fair 3.71 · @3.00

Coruxo41%fair 2.43 · @1.85

2.33Expected goals

1.23Burgos Promesas xG

1.09Coruxo xG

55%Both score

41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–012%

0–111%

0–010%

2–18%

2–07%

From our goals model: Burgos Promesas 1.2 – 1.1 Coruxo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Coruxo to win	41%	2.43	1.85
Double chance	Either team to win	73%	1.37	1.33
Both teams to score	Both teams to score	55%	1.80	2.00 ▲
Draw no bet	Coruxo (draw no bet)	56%	1.78	–
Asian handicap	Coruxo +0.5 (Asian handicap)	61%	1.65	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	68%	1.48	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals	59%	1.70	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	79%	1.26	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	91%	1.10	–
First team to score	Burgos Promesas to score first	48%	2.09	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time	46%	2.18	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Burgos Promesas / FT Burgos Promesas	23%	4.44	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2	7%	13.88	–

Burgos Promesas – last 6

LWDWLL

5 Apr	vs Deportivo La Coruña II	1–4	L
29 Mar	@ Lealtad	2–0	W
15 Mar	@ Marino de Luanco	0–0	D
8 Mar	vs Bergantiños	1–0	W
1 Mar	@ Numancia	0–2	L
21 Feb	vs Real Ávila	1–2	L

0.8Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Coruxo – last 6

LWDLWL

5 Apr	vs Marino de Luanco	1–2	L
29 Mar	@ Bergantiños	1–0	W
22 Mar	vs Numancia	1–1	D
8 Mar	vs Langreo	1–2	L
22 Feb	vs Sarriana	1–0	W
15 Feb	vs Real Valladolid II	0–2	L

0.8Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sestao River	10	8	1	1	+10	25
2	Eibar II	10	6	2	2	+10	20
3	Deportivo Alavés II	10	6	2	2	+9	20
4	Bergantiños	10	5	3	2	+8	18
5	Compostela	10	5	2	3	+4	17
6	Portugalete	10	4	4	2	+3	16
7	Amorebieta	10	5	1	4	+2	16
8	Real Oviedo II	10	4	3	3	-3	15
9	Basconia	10	3	5	2	0	14
10	Ourense CF	10	4	2	4	-3	14
11	Gernika	10	2	6	2	+6	12
12	Racing Santander II	10	3	2	5	-4	11
13	Llanera	10	3	1	6	-8	10
14	Coruxo	10	2	3	5	-4	9
15	Arosa	10	1	5	4	-6	8
16	Marino de Luanco	10	2	2	6	-6	8
17	Atlético Astorga	10	2	1	7	-6	7
18	Gimnástica Torrelavega	10	1	3	6	-12	6

Team

Pts

+10

+10

-3

-3

-4

-8

-4

-6

-6

-6

Gimnástica Torrelavega

-12

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Burgos Promesas vs Coruxo?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.

Who will win Burgos Promesas vs Coruxo?

On our numbers Burgos Promesas have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Coruxo 41%.

How many goals will there be in Burgos Promesas vs Coruxo?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Burgos Promesas vs Coruxo?

Our predicted score is Burgos Promesas 1–1 Coruxo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Burgos Promesas vs Coruxo?

Burgos Promesas vs Coruxo (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Ciudad Deportiva de Castañares.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Burgos Promesas v Coruxo: numbers & prediction

Burgos Promesas