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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportivo La Coruña II v UD Ourense: numbers & prediction

Segunda División RFEF Group 1 · Spain · Ciudad Deportiva de Abegondo

Deportivo La Coruña II

WWWDW
3–0
FT

UD Ourense

WDWLW
Deportivo La Coruña II 55%Draw 27%UD Ourense 18% Expected goals 1.50 – 0.81
57%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.75 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo La Coruña II to win ✓55% · @1.68
Double chanceDeportivo La Coruña II or draw ✓82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.72

Deportivo La Coruña II vs UD Ourense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:00 WAT, Sunday 12 April: Deportivo La Coruña II v UD Ourense in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1, played at Ciudad Deportiva de Abegondo.

Current form

Deportivo La Coruña II, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Burgos Promesas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

UD Ourense, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Gimnástica Segoviana, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Deportivo La Coruña II, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for UD Ourense.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo La Coruña II 1.5 xG, UD Ourense 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 45%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo La Coruña II 55%, draw 27%, UD Ourense 18%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo La Coruña II 1–0 UD Ourense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo La Coruña II55%fair 1.81 · @1.68
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.30
UD Ourense18%fair 5.54 · @4.50
2.31Expected goals
1.50Deportivo La Coruña II xG
0.81UD Ourense xG
45%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%

From our goals model: Deportivo La Coruña II 1.5 – 0.8 UD Ourense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo La Coruña II to win ✓55%1.811.68
Double chanceDeportivo La Coruña II or draw ✓82%1.221.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.82–
Draw no betDeportivo La Coruña II (draw no bet) ✓75%1.33–
Asian handicapUD Ourense +1 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.751.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.09–
First team to scoreDeportivo La Coruña II to score first ✓59%1.71–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportivo La Coruña II / FT Deportivo La Coruña II ✓32%3.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.72–

Recent results

Deportivo La Coruña II – last 6

WWWDWD
5 Apr@ Burgos Promesas4–1W
29 Marvs Atlético Astorga3–0W
22 Marvs Lealtad3–1W
1 Mar@ Bergantiños2–2D
22 Febvs Numancia2–1W
15 Feb@ Marino de Luanco0–0D
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

UD Ourense – last 6

WDWLWL
5 Aprvs Gimnástica Segoviana1–0W
29 Mar@ Marino de Luanco0–0D
22 Marvs Sámano3–1W
15 Mar@ Langreo0–1L
8 Marvs Real Oviedo II3–0W
1 Mar@ Sarriana1–3L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Deportivo La Coruña II and UD Ourense.

Deportivo La Coruña II vs UD Ourense head-to-head page →

More Segunda División RFEF Group 1 predictions

League hub
FT Racing Santander II3 Atlético Astorga2 159%1.60X22%3.65219%4.60 1.9–1.1xG 1Racing Santander II to win 59%@1.60 ✓
– Burgos Promesas Coruxo 132%4.00X27%3.00241%1.85 1.2–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@2.00
– Langreo Sámano 163%1.11X18%7.00218%41.00 1.7–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 50%@3.70
– Marino de Luanco Real Oviedo II 136%2.62X29%2.75234%2.62 1.1–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.10
– Numancia Real Ávila 157%1.95X24%3.25219%3.30 1.8–0.8xG 1XNumancia or draw 81%@1.25
– Gimnástica Segoviana Salamanca UDS 139%2.15X28%2.80233%3.40 1.3–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@2.15
– Lealtad Real Valladolid II 140%2.75X26%2.90233%2.45 1.6–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 61%@1.75
– Bergantiños Sarriana 157%1.75X22%3.40221%4.00 2.1–1.2xG 1XBergantiños or draw 79%@1.22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo La Coruña II vs UD Ourense?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Deportivo La Coruña II vs UD Ourense?

On our numbers Deportivo La Coruña II have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 27% and UD Ourense 18%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo La Coruña II vs UD Ourense?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo La Coruña II vs UD Ourense?

Our predicted score is Deportivo La Coruña II 1–0 UD Ourense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Deportivo La Coruña II vs UD Ourense?

Deportivo La Coruña II vs UD Ourense (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ciudad Deportiva de Abegondo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.