Marino de Luanco v Real Oviedo II Prediction & Expected Goals (12 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultMarino de Luanco to win36% · @2.62

Double chanceEither team to win71% · @1.40

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.10

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals83% · fair 1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–17% · fair 13.65

Marino de Luanco vs Real Oviedo II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Marino de Luanco welcome Real Oviedo II to Estadi Municipal de Miramar for a Segunda División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Sunday 12 April (16:00 WAT). In the table, Marino de Luanco are 16th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 10 matches; Real Oviedo II are 8th (upper half) with 15.

Current form

Marino de Luanco, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Coruxo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Real Oviedo II, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Racing Santander II, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Marino de Luanco 1.1 xG, Real Oviedo II 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Marino de Luanco 36%, draw 29%, Real Oviedo II 34%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 2.10 – longer than our fair 1.96, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marino de Luanco 1–1 Real Oviedo II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Marino de Luanco36%fair 2.74 · @2.62

Draw29%fair 3.43 · @2.75

Real Oviedo II34%fair 2.91 · @2.62

2.13Expected goals

1.09Marino de Luanco xG

1.05Real Oviedo II xG

51%Both score

36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–013%

0–112%

0–012%

2–17%

1–27%

From our goals model: Marino de Luanco 1.1 – 1.0 Real Oviedo II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Marino de Luanco to win	36%	2.74	2.62
Double chance	Either team to win	71%	1.41	1.40
Both teams to score	Both teams to score	51%	1.96	2.10 ▲
Draw no bet	Marino de Luanco (draw no bet)	51%	1.94	–
Asian handicap	Real Oviedo II +0.5 (Asian handicap)	64%	1.57	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	63%	1.59	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals	64%	1.56	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	83%	1.20	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	93%	1.07	–
First team to score	Marino de Luanco to score first	45%	2.22	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time	48%	2.07	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Marino de Luanco / FT Marino de Luanco	20%	4.93	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1	7%	13.65	–

Marino de Luanco – last 6

WDDLDD

5 Apr	@ Coruxo	2–1	W
29 Mar	vs UD Ourense	0–0	D
15 Mar	vs Burgos Promesas	0–0	D
4 Mar	@ Gimnástica Segoviana	2–3	L
22 Feb	@ Salamanca UDS	0–0	D
15 Feb	vs Deportivo La Coruña II	0–0	D

0.7Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Real Oviedo II – last 6

LDLLWW

29 Mar	@ Racing Santander II	0–1	L
22 Mar	@ Real Valladolid II	2–2	D
15 Mar	vs Real Ávila	0–2	L
8 Mar	@ UD Ourense	0–3	L
1 Mar	vs Salamanca UDS	5–2	W
22 Feb	@ Lealtad	2–1	W

1.5Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sestao River	10	8	1	1	+10	25
2	Eibar II	10	6	2	2	+10	20
3	Deportivo Alavés II	10	6	2	2	+9	20
4	Bergantiños	10	5	3	2	+8	18
5	Compostela	10	5	2	3	+4	17
6	Portugalete	10	4	4	2	+3	16
7	Amorebieta	10	5	1	4	+2	16
8	Real Oviedo II	10	4	3	3	-3	15
9	Basconia	10	3	5	2	0	14
10	Ourense CF	10	4	2	4	-3	14
11	Gernika	10	2	6	2	+6	12
12	Racing Santander II	10	3	2	5	-4	11
13	Llanera	10	3	1	6	-8	10
14	Coruxo	10	2	3	5	-4	9
15	Arosa	10	1	5	4	-6	8
16	Marino de Luanco	10	2	2	6	-6	8
17	Atlético Astorga	10	2	1	7	-6	7
18	Gimnástica Torrelavega	10	1	3	6	-12	6

Team

Pts

+10

+10

-3

-3

-4

-8

-4

-6

-6

-6

Gimnástica Torrelavega

-12

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Marino de Luanco vs Real Oviedo II?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.

Who will win Marino de Luanco vs Real Oviedo II?

On our numbers Marino de Luanco have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Real Oviedo II 34%.

How many goals will there be in Marino de Luanco vs Real Oviedo II?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Marino de Luanco vs Real Oviedo II?

Our predicted score is Marino de Luanco 1–1 Real Oviedo II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Marino de Luanco vs Real Oviedo II?

Marino de Luanco vs Real Oviedo II (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Municipal de Miramar.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Marino de Luanco v Real Oviedo II: numbers & prediction