Burgos Promesas vs Salamanca UDS: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Salamanca UDS travel to face Burgos Promesas on Sunday 26 April in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1, with Ciudad Deportiva de Castañares the venue – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT.
Current form
Burgos Promesas, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Deportivo La Coruña II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Salamanca UDS, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Deportivo La Coruña II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Burgos Promesas, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Salamanca UDS.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Burgos Promesas 1.2 xG, Salamanca UDS 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Burgos Promesas 27%, draw 24%, Salamanca UDS 49%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.77, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Burgos Promesas 1–1 Salamanca UDS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Burgos Promesas27%fair 3.66 · @4.80
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @4.00
Salamanca UDS49%fair 2.06 · @1.53
2.54Expected goals
1.24Burgos Promesas xG
1.30Salamanca UDS xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Burgos Promesas 1.2 – 1.3 Salamanca UDS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Salamanca UDS to win✗
49%
2.06
1.53
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Salamanca UDS (draw no bet)✗
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Burgos Promesas +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Salamanca UDS to score first
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Salamanca UDS / FT Salamanca UDS✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.10
–
Recent results
Burgos Promesas – last 6
LWDWLL
5 Apr
vs Deportivo La Coruña II
1–4
L
29 Mar
@ Lealtad
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Marino de Luanco
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Bergantiños
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Numancia
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs Real Ávila
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Salamanca UDS – last 6
LLDLWL
19 Apr
vs Deportivo La Coruña II
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Racing Santander II
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Bergantiños
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Sarriana
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Sámano
5–1
W
1 Mar
@ Real Oviedo II
2–5
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burgos Promesas and Salamanca UDS.
What is the prediction for Burgos Promesas vs Salamanca UDS?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Burgos Promesas vs Salamanca UDS?
On our numbers Burgos Promesas have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Salamanca UDS 49%.
How many goals will there be in Burgos Promesas vs Salamanca UDS?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burgos Promesas vs Salamanca UDS?
Our predicted score is Burgos Promesas 1–1 Salamanca UDS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Burgos Promesas vs Salamanca UDS?
Burgos Promesas vs Salamanca UDS (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ciudad Deportiva de Castañares.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.