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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Marino de Luanco v Sámano: numbers & prediction

Segunda División RFEF Group 1 · Spain · Estadi Municipal de Miramar

Marino de Luanco

WDDLD
4–1
FT

Sámano

LLLDL
Marino de Luanco 61%Draw 19%Sámano 20% Expected goals 1.43 – 1.06
53%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.89 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultMarino de Luanco to win ✓61% · @1.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.22
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.39

Marino de Luanco vs Sámano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Marino de Luanco welcome Sámano to Estadi Municipal de Miramar for a Segunda División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Sunday 26 April (11:00 WAT).

Current form

Marino de Luanco, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Coruxo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Sámano, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Numancia, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Marino de Luanco, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for Sámano.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Marino de Luanco 1.4 xG, Sámano 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Marino de Luanco 61%, draw 19%, Sámano 20%.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.22.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (53%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marino de Luanco 1–0 Sámano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Marino de Luanco61%fair 1.64 · @1.10
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @7.50
Sámano20%fair 5.10 · @36.00
2.48Expected goals
1.43Marino de Luanco xG
1.06Sámano xG
47%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
2–19%
0–19%
2–09%
0–08%

From our goals model: Marino de Luanco 1.4 – 1.1 Sámano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMarino de Luanco to win ✓61%1.641.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.10
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.891.22
Draw no betMarino de Luanco (draw no bet) ✓76%1.32–
Asian handicapSámano +1 (Asian handicap) ✗71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.83–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76%1.31–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗89%1.12–
First team to scoreMarino de Luanco to score first53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Marino de Luanco / FT Marino de Luanco ✓27%3.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.39–

Recent results

Marino de Luanco – last 6

WDDLDD
5 Apr@ Coruxo2–1W
29 Marvs UD Ourense0–0D
15 Marvs Burgos Promesas0–0D
4 Mar@ Gimnástica Segoviana2–3L
22 Feb@ Salamanca UDS0–0D
15 Febvs Deportivo La Coruña II0–0D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sámano – last 5

LLLDL
19 Aprvs Numancia0–3L
22 Mar@ UD Ourense1–3L
8 Mar@ Salamanca UDS1–5L
22 Feb@ Real Valladolid II2–2D
15 Febvs Lealtad0–2L
0.8Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Marino de Luanco and Sámano.

Marino de Luanco vs Sámano head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sestao River10811+1025
2Eibar II10622+1020
3Deportivo Alavés II10622+920
4Bergantiños10532+818
5Compostela10523+417
6Portugalete10442+316
7Amorebieta10514+216
8Real Oviedo II10433-315
9Basconia10352014
10Ourense CF10424-314
11Gernika10262+612
12Racing Santander II10325-411
13Llanera10316-810
14Coruxo10235-49
15Arosa10154-68
16Marino de Luanco10226-68
17Atlético Astorga10217-67
18Gimnástica Torrelavega10136-126

More Segunda División RFEF Group 1 predictions

League hub
FT Atlético Astorga1 Sarriana0 137%2.20X26%2.90237%3.10 1.4–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 60%@1.75 ✗
FT Bergantiños1 UD Ourense3 147%2.70X26%2.70227%2.70 1.7–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@1.95 ✓
FT Burgos Promesas2 Salamanca UDS1 127%4.80X24%4.00249%1.53 1.2–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 57%@1.95 ✓
FT Deportivo La Coruña II0 Real Valladolid II1 152%1.65X20%4.00228%3.90 1.9–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.57 ✗
FT Gimnástica Segoviana1 Real Oviedo II0 141%2.00X27%3.10232%3.40 1.2–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 50%@1.85 ✗
FT Langreo1 Numancia1 130%3.00X28%2.90243%2.30 1.0–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@1.85 ✓
FT Lealtad2 Coruxo2 129%5.50X24%4.00247%1.44 1.1–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@2.05 ✓
FT Racing Santander II4 Real Ávila1 146%2.45X23%3.40231%2.45 1.8–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 55%@1.80 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Marino de Luanco vs Sámano?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Marino de Luanco vs Sámano?

On our numbers Marino de Luanco have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sámano 20%.

How many goals will there be in Marino de Luanco vs Sámano?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Marino de Luanco vs Sámano?

Our predicted score is Marino de Luanco 1–0 Sámano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Marino de Luanco vs Sámano?

Marino de Luanco vs Sámano (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Municipal de Miramar.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.