Lealtad vs Coruxo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 26 April the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 brings Lealtad against Coruxo at Estadio Las Callejas. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT.
Current form
Lealtad, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Burgos Promesas, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Coruxo, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Marino de Luanco, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Coruxo, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Lealtad.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lealtad 1.1 xG, Coruxo 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lealtad 29%, draw 24%, Coruxo 47%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.86, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lealtad 1–1 Coruxo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lealtad29%fair 3.45 · @5.50
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @4.00
Coruxo47%fair 2.14 · @1.44
2.20Expected goals
1.14Lealtad xG
1.06Coruxo xG
54%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Lealtad 1.1 – 1.1 Coruxo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Coruxo to win✗
47%
2.14
1.44
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Coruxo (draw no bet)
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Coruxo +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Lealtad to score first
46%
2.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lealtad / FT Lealtad✗
21%
4.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.08
–
Recent results
Lealtad – last 6
LLLWLL
29 Mar
vs Burgos Promesas
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ Deportivo La Coruña II
1–3
L
15 Mar
@ Bergantiños
0–3
L
8 Mar
vs Gimnástica Segoviana
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Racing Santander II
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Real Oviedo II
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Coruxo – last 6
LWDLWL
5 Apr
vs Marino de Luanco
1–2
L
29 Mar
@ Bergantiños
1–0
W
22 Mar
vs Numancia
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Langreo
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Sarriana
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Real Valladolid II
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lealtad and Coruxo.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Lealtad vs Coruxo?
On our numbers Lealtad have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Coruxo 47%.
How many goals will there be in Lealtad vs Coruxo?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lealtad vs Coruxo?
Our predicted score is Lealtad 1–1 Coruxo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Lealtad vs Coruxo?
Lealtad vs Coruxo (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Las Callejas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.