Langreo vs Numancia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Sunday 26 April: Langreo v Numancia in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1, played at Estadio Nuevo Ganzábal.
Current form
Langreo, last 4: LWWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Real Valladolid II, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Numancia, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Sámano, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Langreo, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Numancia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Langreo 1.0 xG, Numancia 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Langreo 30%, draw 28%, Numancia 43%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Langreo 1–1 Numancia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Langreo30%fair 3.36 · @3.00
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @2.90
Numancia43%fair 2.35 · @2.30
2.37Expected goals
1.03Langreo xG
1.33Numancia xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Langreo 1.0 – 1.3 Numancia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Numancia to win✗
43%
2.35
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.38
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.85
Draw no bet
Numancia (draw no bet)
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Langreo +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Numancia to score first✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Numancia / FT Numancia✗
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.60
–
Recent results
Langreo – last 4
LWWW
19 Apr
@ Real Valladolid II
0–3
L
5 Apr
@ Real Ávila
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs UD Ourense
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Coruxo
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Numancia – last 6
WDDLWL
19 Apr
@ Sámano
3–0
W
29 Mar
vs Sarriana
2–2
D
22 Mar
@ Coruxo
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Atlético Astorga
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Burgos Promesas
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Deportivo La Coruña II
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Langreo and Numancia.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Langreo vs Numancia?
On our numbers Langreo have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Numancia 43%.
How many goals will there be in Langreo vs Numancia?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Langreo vs Numancia?
Our predicted score is Langreo 1–1 Numancia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Langreo vs Numancia?
Langreo vs Numancia (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Ganzábal.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atlético Astorga1
Sarriana0
Bergantiños1
UD Ourense3
Burgos Promesas2
Salamanca UDS1
Deportivo La Coruña II0
Real Valladolid II1
Gimnástica Segoviana1
Real Oviedo II0
Lealtad2
Coruxo2
Marino de Luanco4
Sámano1
Racing Santander II4
Real Ávila1