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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Guidonia Montecelio 1937 v Athletic Carpi: numbers & prediction

Serie C Girone B · Italy · Stadio Citta dell Aria
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 38%Draw 26%Athletic Carpi 36% Expected goals 1.23 – 1.19
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultGuidonia Montecelio 1937 to win ✗38% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.66
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.48

Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Athletic Carpi: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Guidonia Montecelio 1937 welcome Athletic Carpi to Stadio Citta dell Aria for a Serie C Girone B fixture on Sunday 26 April (13:30 WAT).

Current form

Guidonia Montecelio 1937, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Juventus U23, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Athletic Carpi, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Pontedera, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Athletic Carpi, collecting 1.6 points per game to 0.3 for Guidonia Montecelio 1937.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1.2 xG, Athletic Carpi 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Guidonia Montecelio 1937 38%, draw 26%, Athletic Carpi 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.66.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1–1 Athletic Carpi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Guidonia Montecelio 193738%fair 2.61 · @2.38
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.28
Athletic Carpi36%fair 2.77 · @2.59
2.42Expected goals
1.23Guidonia Montecelio 1937 xG
1.19Athletic Carpi xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1.2 – 1.2 Athletic Carpi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Guidonia Montecelio 1937Athletic Carpi
Attack vs Serie C Girone B average-4%+8%
Goals conceded vs average-2%+0%
Our expected goals here1.301.26

Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGuidonia Montecelio 1937 to win ✗38%2.612.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.341.24
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.66
Draw no betGuidonia Montecelio 1937 (draw no bet) ✗51%1.94–
Asian handicapAthletic Carpi +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.401.24
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.881.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.351.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗87%1.141.07
First team to scoreGuidonia Montecelio 1937 to score first46%2.16–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Guidonia Montecelio 1937 / FT Guidonia Montecelio 1937 ✗21%4.70–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.48–

Recent results

Guidonia Montecelio 1937 – last 6

LDLLLD
12 Apr@ Juventus U230–1L
29 Mar@ Campobasso FC2–2D
8 Marvs Sambenedettese0–1L
4 Mar@ Torres1–2L
1 Marvs Gubbio0–1L
20 Feb@ Pianese0–0D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Athletic Carpi – last 5

WDLWD
3 Aprvs Pontedera2–0W
8 Marvs Torres1–1D
4 Mar@ Gubbio1–2L
22 Febvs Bra2–1W
15 Feb@ Perugia1–1D
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Guidonia Montecelio 1937 and Athletic Carpi.

Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Athletic Carpi head-to-head page →

Serie C Girone B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Spezia131120+1935
2Ravenna13922+1729
3Grosseto13652+823
4Pescara13643+422
5Torres13643+322
6Reggiana13625+420
7Guidonia Montecelio 193713553+320
8Livorno13553+120
9Campobasso FC13544-219
10Atalanta II13607-318
11Pineto13454-217
12Perugia13526-317
13Vado13445-116
14Forli13364-115
15Latina13364-215
16Pianese13274-313
17Sambenedettese13247-510
18Ostia Mare13238-99
19Gubbio13229-128
20Vis Pesaro131210-165

More Serie C Girone B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Athletic Carpi?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Athletic Carpi?

On our numbers Guidonia Montecelio 1937 have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Athletic Carpi 36%.

How many goals will there be in Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Athletic Carpi?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Athletic Carpi?

Our predicted score is Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1–1 Athletic Carpi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Athletic Carpi?

Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Athletic Carpi (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Citta dell Aria.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.