Ternana vs Pianese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ternana welcome Pianese to Stadio Libero Liberati for a Serie C Girone B fixture on Sunday 26 April (13:30 WAT).
Current form
Ternana, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Perugia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Pianese, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Campobasso FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ternana 1.3 xG, Pianese 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ternana 51%, draw 27%, Pianese 22%.
Lower-risk option: Ternana or draw (78%) at 1.16.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ternana 1–0 Pianese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ternana51%fair 1.96 · @1.75
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.40
Pianese22%fair 4.52 · @4.05
2.27Expected goals
1.34Ternana xG
0.93Pianese xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Ternana 1.3 – 0.9 Pianese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Ternana
Pianese
Attack vs Serie C Girone B average
+8%
-25%
Goals conceded vs average
+15%
-21%
Our expected goals here
1.16
1.03
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ternana to win✗
51%
1.96
1.75
Double chance
Ternana or draw✗
78%
1.28
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.85
Draw no bet
Ternana (draw no bet)✗
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Pianese +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.21
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.03
First team to score
Ternana to score first✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ternana / FT Ternana✗
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.61
–
Recent results
Ternana – last 6
DLDWLW
12 Apr
vs Perugia
2–2
D
8 Apr
@ Juventus U23
1–2
L
20 Mar
vs Sambenedettese
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Arezzo
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs Campobasso FC
2–4
L
23 Feb
vs Forli
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Pianese – last 6
LDWDDD
4 Apr
vs Campobasso FC
0–2
L
29 Mar
@ Forli
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Pineto
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ Ravenna
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Bra
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ternana and Pianese.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Ternana vs Pianese?
On our numbers Ternana have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Pianese 22%.
How many goals will there be in Ternana vs Pianese?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ternana vs Pianese?
Our predicted score is Ternana 1–0 Pianese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Ternana vs Pianese?
Ternana vs Pianese (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Libero Liberati.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.