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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ternana v Pianese: numbers & prediction

Serie C Girone B · Italy · Stadio Libero Liberati

Ternana

DLDWL
1–3
FT

Pianese

LDWDD
Ternana 51%Draw 27%Pianese 22% Expected goals 1.34 – 0.93
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.21 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.21Odds

Picks by market

ResultTernana to win ✗51% · @1.75
Double chanceTernana or draw ✗78% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.61

Ternana vs Pianese: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ternana welcome Pianese to Stadio Libero Liberati for a Serie C Girone B fixture on Sunday 26 April (13:30 WAT).

Current form

Ternana, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Perugia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Pianese, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Campobasso FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ternana 1.3 xG, Pianese 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ternana 51%, draw 27%, Pianese 22%.
  • Lower-risk option: Ternana or draw (78%) at 1.16.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ternana 1–0 Pianese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ternana51%fair 1.96 · @1.75
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.40
Pianese22%fair 4.52 · @4.05
2.27Expected goals
1.34Ternana xG
0.93Pianese xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%

From our goals model: Ternana 1.3 – 0.9 Pianese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

TernanaPianese
Attack vs Serie C Girone B average+8%-25%
Goals conceded vs average+15%-21%
Our expected goals here1.161.03

Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTernana to win ✗51%1.961.75
Double chanceTernana or draw ✗78%1.281.16
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.911.85
Draw no betTernana (draw no bet) ✗70%1.43–
Asian handicapPianese +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.461.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.741.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78%1.291.21
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.03
First team to scoreTernana to score first ✓53%1.89–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ternana / FT Ternana ✗27%3.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.61–

Recent results

Ternana – last 6

DLDWLW
12 Aprvs Perugia2–2D
8 Apr@ Juventus U231–2L
20 Marvs Sambenedettese1–1D
4 Mar@ Arezzo2–1W
1 Marvs Campobasso FC2–4L
23 Febvs Forli2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Pianese – last 6

LDWDDD
4 Aprvs Campobasso FC0–2L
29 Mar@ Forli0–0D
8 Marvs Pineto1–0W
4 Mar@ Ravenna0–0D
1 Mar@ Bra1–1D
20 Febvs Guidonia Montecelio 19370–0D
0.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ternana and Pianese.

Ternana vs Pianese head-to-head page →

Serie C Girone B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Spezia131120+1935
2Ravenna13922+1729
3Grosseto13652+823
4Pescara13643+422
5Torres13643+322
6Reggiana13625+420
7Guidonia Montecelio 193713553+320
8Livorno13553+120
9Campobasso FC13544-219
10Atalanta II13607-318
11Pineto13454-217
12Perugia13526-317
13Vado13445-116
14Forli13364-115
15Latina13364-215
16Pianese13274-313
17Sambenedettese13247-510
18Ostia Mare13238-99
19Gubbio13229-128
20Vis Pesaro131210-165

More Serie C Girone B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ternana vs Pianese?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.

Who will win Ternana vs Pianese?

On our numbers Ternana have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Pianese 22%.

How many goals will there be in Ternana vs Pianese?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ternana vs Pianese?

Our predicted score is Ternana 1–0 Pianese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Ternana vs Pianese?

Ternana vs Pianese (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Libero Liberati.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.