Forli welcome Perugia to Stadio Tullo Morgagni for a Serie C Girone B fixture on Sunday 26 April (13:30 WAT). In the table, Forli are 14th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Perugia are 12th (lower half) with 17. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Forli, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Pianese, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Perugia, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Ternana, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Perugia, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Forli.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Forli 1.3 xG, Perugia 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Forli 34%, draw 26%, Perugia 41%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.34). Most likely score in line with that pick: Forli 1–1 Perugia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Forli34%fair 2.97 · @2.85
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.10
Perugia41%fair 2.46 · @2.28
2.64Expected goals
1.27Forli xG
1.37Perugia xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Forli 1.3 – 1.4 Perugia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Forli
Perugia
Attack vs Serie C Girone B average
-6%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
+13%
+17%
Our expected goals here
1.49
1.51
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Perugia to win✗
41%
2.46
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.34
1.27
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.85
Draw no bet
Perugia (draw no bet)
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Forli +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.34
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.61
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.02
First team to score
Perugia to score first
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Perugia / FT Perugia✗
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.76
–
Recent results
Forli – last 6
DDDLLD
29 Mar
vs Pianese
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Juventus U23
2–2
D
8 Mar
vs Livorno
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Pineto
2–3
L
23 Feb
@ Ternana
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Guidonia Montecelio 1937
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Perugia – last 6
DWDDWW
12 Apr
@ Ternana
2–2
D
29 Mar
@ Vis Pesaro
1–0
W
20 Mar
vs Torres
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Arezzo
1–1
D
9 Mar
vs Pontedera
2–1
W
4 Mar
@ Livorno
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Forli and Perugia.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.
Who will win Forli vs Perugia?
On our numbers Forli have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Perugia 41%.
How many goals will there be in Forli vs Perugia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Forli vs Perugia?
Our predicted score is Forli 1–1 Perugia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Forli vs Perugia?
Forli vs Perugia (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Tullo Morgagni.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Juventus U232
Bra2
Athletic Carpi3
Ascoli0
Pontedera0
Arezzo3
Ternana1