Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.09 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSambenedettese to win ✓55% · @1.59
Double chanceSambenedettese or draw ✓79% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.09
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.85
Vis Pesaro vs Sambenedettese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sambenedettese travel to face Vis Pesaro on Sunday 26 April in the Serie C Girone B, with Tonino Benelli the venue – the ball rolls at 13:30 WAT. In the table, Vis Pesaro are 20th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 13 matches; Sambenedettese are 17th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Vis Pesaro, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Perugia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Sambenedettese, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Arezzo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vis Pesaro 0.9 xG, Sambenedettese 1.5 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vis Pesaro 21%, draw 24%, Sambenedettese 55%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.09.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.09 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vis Pesaro 1–1 Sambenedettese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vis Pesaro21%fair 4.69 · @4.70
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.70
Sambenedettese55%fair 1.82 · @1.59
2.42Expected goals
0.92Vis Pesaro xG
1.50Sambenedettese xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–09%
1–08%
From our goals model: Vis Pesaro 0.9 – 1.5 Sambenedettese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Vis Pesaro
Sambenedettese
Attack vs Serie C Girone B average
-24%
+1%
Goals conceded vs average
+40%
+17%
Our expected goals here
1.21
1.69
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sambenedettese to win✓
55%
1.82
1.59
Double chance
Sambenedettese or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
2.09 ▲
Draw no bet
Sambenedettese (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Vis Pesaro +1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.59
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.16
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
1.01
First team to score
Sambenedettese to score first✓
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sambenedettese / FT Sambenedettese✓
31%
3.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.85
–
Recent results
Vis Pesaro – last 5
LWWDL
29 Mar
vs Perugia
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Juventus U23
3–1
W
4 Mar
vs Bra
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs Pontedera
1–1
D
16 Feb
vs Campobasso FC
1–2
L
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Sambenedettese – last 6
DDDWLL
4 Apr
vs Arezzo
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Pineto
0–0
D
20 Mar
@ Ternana
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Guidonia Montecelio 1937
1–0
W
4 Mar
vs Ascoli
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Torres
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vis Pesaro and Sambenedettese.
What is the prediction for Vis Pesaro vs Sambenedettese?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Vis Pesaro vs Sambenedettese?
On our numbers Vis Pesaro have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sambenedettese 55%.
How many goals will there be in Vis Pesaro vs Sambenedettese?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vis Pesaro vs Sambenedettese?
Our predicted score is Vis Pesaro 1–1 Sambenedettese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Vis Pesaro vs Sambenedettese?
Vis Pesaro vs Sambenedettese (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Tonino Benelli.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Juventus U232
Bra2
Athletic Carpi3
Ascoli0
Pontedera0
Arezzo3
Ternana1