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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Pontedera v Livorno: numbers & prediction

Serie C Girone B · Italy · Stadio Ettore Mannucci

Pontedera

LDLLD
0–2
FT

Livorno

WDLWL
Pontedera 30%Draw 26%Livorno 44% Expected goals 1.10 – 1.41
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultLivorno to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.69
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.23

Pontedera vs Livorno: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 26 April the Serie C Girone B brings Pontedera against Livorno at Stadio Ettore Mannucci. Kick-off: 13:30 WAT.

Current form

Pontedera, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Athletic Carpi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Livorno, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Gubbio, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Livorno, collecting 1.4 points per game to 0.3 for Pontedera.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Pontedera 1.1 xG, Livorno 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Pontedera 30%, draw 26%, Livorno 44%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.69.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pontedera 1–1 Livorno. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Pontedera30%fair 3.33 · @3.24
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.28
Livorno44%fair 2.27 · @2.00
2.52Expected goals
1.10Pontedera xG
1.41Livorno xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%

From our goals model: Pontedera 1.1 – 1.4 Livorno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

PontederaLivorno
Attack vs Serie C Girone B average-23%+8%
Goals conceded vs average+6%+1%
Our expected goals here1.051.37

Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLivorno to win ✓44%2.272.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.24
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.811.69
Draw no betLivorno (draw no bet) ✓59%1.68–
Asian handicapPontedera +1 (Asian handicap) ✗73%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.381.24
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.921.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.371.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.151.07
First team to scoreLivorno to score first ✓52%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Livorno / FT Livorno ✓26%3.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.23–

Recent results

Pontedera – last 6

LDLLDL
3 Apr@ Athletic Carpi0–2L
29 Marvs Bra0–0D
9 Mar@ Perugia1–2L
4 Marvs Juventus U230–1L
1 Mar@ Vis Pesaro1–1D
22 Febvs Ascoli1–3L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Livorno – last 5

WDLWL
3 Aprvs Gubbio3–0W
8 Mar@ Forli1–1D
4 Marvs Perugia1–2L
21 Febvs Pineto1–0W
15 Febvs Pianese1–2L
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Pontedera and Livorno.

Pontedera vs Livorno head-to-head page →

Serie C Girone B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Spezia131120+1935
2Ravenna13922+1729
3Grosseto13652+823
4Pescara13643+422
5Torres13643+322
6Reggiana13625+420
7Guidonia Montecelio 193713553+320
8Livorno13553+120
9Campobasso FC13544-219
10Atalanta II13607-318
11Pineto13454-217
12Perugia13526-317
13Vado13445-116
14Forli13364-115
15Latina13364-215
16Pianese13274-313
17Sambenedettese13247-510
18Ostia Mare13238-99
19Gubbio13229-128
20Vis Pesaro131210-165

More Serie C Girone B predictions

League hub
FT Juventus U232 Bra2 157%1.51X23%3.84220%5.25 1.6–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.20 ✓
FT Guidonia Montecelio 19372 Athletic Carpi3 138%2.38X26%3.28236%2.59 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✗
FT Gubbio2 Pineto0 136%2.27X29%3.08235%2.88 1.0–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 64%@1.34 ✓
FT Campobasso FC1 Ascoli0 118%11.25X21%5.05261%1.21 1.0–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 72%@1.30 ✗
FT Forli1 Perugia1 134%2.85X26%3.10241%2.28 1.3–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.34 ✓
FT Arezzo3 Torres1 159%1.26X25%4.50216%10.25 1.4–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.24 ✗
FT Ternana1 Pianese3 151%1.75X27%3.40222%4.05 1.3–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.21 ✗
FT Vis Pesaro2 Sambenedettese3 121%4.70X24%3.70255%1.59 0.9–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 68%@1.36 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pontedera vs Livorno?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Pontedera vs Livorno?

On our numbers Pontedera have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Livorno 44%.

How many goals will there be in Pontedera vs Livorno?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pontedera vs Livorno?

Our predicted score is Pontedera 1–1 Livorno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Pontedera vs Livorno?

Pontedera vs Livorno (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ettore Mannucci.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.