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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gubbio v Pineto: numbers & prediction

Serie C Girone B · Italy · Stadio Pietro Barbetti

Gubbio

LLLWW
2–0
FT

Pineto

DLWLL
Gubbio 36%Draw 29%Pineto 35% Expected goals 0.97 – 1.07
64%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.34 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.34Odds

Picks by market

ResultGubbio to win ✓36% · @2.27
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 15.29

Gubbio vs Pineto: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:30 WAT, Sunday 26 April: Gubbio v Pineto in the Serie C Girone B, played at Stadio Pietro Barbetti. In the table, Gubbio are 19th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 13 matches; Pineto are 11th (lower half) with 17.

Current form

Gubbio, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Livorno, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Pineto, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sambenedettese, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gubbio 1.0 xG, Pineto 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gubbio 36%, draw 29%, Pineto 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.34). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gubbio 1–1 Pineto. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gubbio36%fair 2.81 · @2.27
Draw29%fair 3.42 · @3.08
Pineto35%fair 2.84 · @2.88
2.04Expected goals
0.97Gubbio xG
1.07Pineto xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–113%
0–013%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%

From our goals model: Gubbio 1.0 – 1.1 Pineto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

GubbioPineto
Attack vs Serie C Girone B average-34%-30%
Goals conceded vs average+17%-15%
Our expected goals here0.760.98

Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGubbio to win ✓36%2.812.27
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71%1.411.27
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.881.85
Draw no betGubbio (draw no bet) ✓50%1.99–
Asian handicapGubbio +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.561.34
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓62%1.611.61
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.231.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.091.01
First team to scorePineto to score first ✗46%2.20–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗49%2.02–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗21%4.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%15.29–

Recent results

Gubbio – last 6

LLLWWL
3 Apr@ Livorno0–3L
29 Marvs Ravenna0–2L
15 Marvs Ascoli1–3L
4 Marvs Athletic Carpi2–1W
1 Mar@ Guidonia Montecelio 19371–0W
21 Febvs Arezzo0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Pineto – last 5

DLWLL
29 Marvs Sambenedettese0–0D
8 Mar@ Pianese0–1L
4 Marvs Forli3–2W
21 Feb@ Livorno0–1L
16 Febvs Ternana0–3L
0.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Gubbio and Pineto.

Gubbio vs Pineto head-to-head page →

Serie C Girone B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Spezia131120+1935
2Ravenna13922+1729
3Grosseto13652+823
4Pescara13643+422
5Torres13643+322
6Reggiana13625+420
7Guidonia Montecelio 193713553+320
8Livorno13553+120
9Campobasso FC13544-219
10Atalanta II13607-318
11Pineto13454-217
12Perugia13526-317
13Vado13445-116
14Forli13364-115
15Latina13364-215
16Pianese13274-313
17Sambenedettese13247-510
18Ostia Mare13238-99
19Gubbio13229-128
20Vis Pesaro131210-165

More Serie C Girone B predictions

League hub
FT Juventus U232 Bra2 157%1.51X23%3.84220%5.25 1.6–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.20 ✓
FT Guidonia Montecelio 19372 Athletic Carpi3 138%2.38X26%3.28236%2.59 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✗
FT Campobasso FC1 Ascoli0 118%11.25X21%5.05261%1.21 1.0–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 72%@1.30 ✗
FT Pontedera0 Livorno2 130%3.24X26%3.28244%2.00 1.1–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓
FT Forli1 Perugia1 134%2.85X26%3.10241%2.28 1.3–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.34 ✓
FT Arezzo3 Torres1 159%1.26X25%4.50216%10.25 1.4–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.24 ✗
FT Ternana1 Pianese3 151%1.75X27%3.40222%4.05 1.3–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.21 ✗
FT Vis Pesaro2 Sambenedettese3 121%4.70X24%3.70255%1.59 0.9–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 68%@1.36 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gubbio vs Pineto?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.

Who will win Gubbio vs Pineto?

On our numbers Gubbio have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Pineto 35%.

How many goals will there be in Gubbio vs Pineto?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gubbio vs Pineto?

Our predicted score is Gubbio 1–1 Pineto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Gubbio vs Pineto?

Gubbio vs Pineto (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pietro Barbetti.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.