San Jose Earthquakes v San Diego Prediction & Expected Goals (5 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSan Jose Earthquakes to win ✓45% · @2.22

Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.48

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.90

San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 5 April the Major League Soccer brings San Jose Earthquakes against San Diego at PayPal Park. Kick-off: 03:30 WAT. In the table, San Jose Earthquakes are 4th, among the top four, on 52 points after 34 matches; San Diego are 13th (in the drop zone) with 38. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

San Jose Earthquakes, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Vancouver Whitecaps, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

San Diego, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Real Salt Lake, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours San Jose Earthquakes, collecting 2.4 points per game to 1.8 for San Diego.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give San Jose Earthquakes 1.7 xG, San Diego 1.4 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 64%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – San Jose Earthquakes 45%, draw 22%, San Diego 33%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.48.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 San Diego. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

San Jose Earthquakes45%fair 2.25 · @2.22

Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.80

San Diego33%fair 3.03 · @2.82

3.08Expected goals

1.70San Jose Earthquakes xG

1.38San Diego xG

64%Both score

60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

2–19%

1–08%

1–27%

2–07%

0–16%

From our goals model: San Jose Earthquakes 1.7 – 1.4 San Diego expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	San Jose Earthquakes to win ✓	45%	2.25	2.22
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	78%	1.29	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	64%	1.55	1.48
Draw no bet	San Jose Earthquakes (draw no bet) ✓	57%	1.74	–
Asian handicap	San Diego +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	70%	1.44	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	81%	1.23	1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	60%	1.66	1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	61%	1.63	1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	79%	1.27	1.22
First team to score	San Jose Earthquakes to score first ✓	53%	1.90	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	39%	2.57	–
Half-time / full-time	HT San Jose Earthquakes / FT San Jose Earthquakes ✓	27%	3.66	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.90	–

San Jose Earthquakes – last 5

WLWWW

22 Mar	@ Vancouver Whitecaps	1–0	W
16 Mar	vs Seattle Sounders	0–1	L
8 Mar	@ Philadelphia Union	1–0	W
1 Mar	vs Atlanta United FC	2–0	W
22 Feb	vs Sporting Kansas City	3–0	W

1.4Scored / game

0.2Conceded / game

0%Both scored

20%Over 2.5

San Diego – last 6

DLDWWW

23 Mar	vs Real Salt Lake	2–2	D
19 Mar	@ Toluca	0–4	L
15 Mar	@ FC Dallas	3–3	D
12 Mar	vs Toluca	3–2	W
8 Mar	@ Sporting Kansas City	1–0	W
2 Mar	vs St. Louis City	2–0	W

1.8Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	34	19	7	8	+40	64
2	FC Dallas	34	16	10	8	+11	58
3	St. Louis City	34	15	9	10	+11	54
4	San Jose Earthquakes	34	14	10	10	+6	52
5	Houston Dynamo	34	14	9	11	0	51
6	Los Angeles FC	34	12	11	11	+12	47
7	Portland Timbers	34	13	7	14	+1	46
8	Seattle Sounders	34	12	10	12	-2	46
9	Real Salt Lake	34	13	6	15	+1	45
10	Minnesota United FC	34	11	11	12	-2	44
11	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	11	11	12	-7	44
12	Colorado Rapids	34	12	7	15	-3	43
13	San Diego	34	9	11	14	-6	38
14	Austin	34	8	10	16	-23	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	34	7	5	22	-41	26

Team

Pts

+40

+11

+11

+12

-2

-2

-7

-3

-6

-23

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego?

On our numbers San Jose Earthquakes have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and San Diego 33%.

How many goals will there be in San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego?

Our predicted score is San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 San Diego, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego?

San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at PayPal Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

San Jose Earthquakes v San Diego: numbers & prediction