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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Philadelphia Union v Inter Miami: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · Subaru Park
2–2
FT
Philadelphia Union 38%Draw 20%Inter Miami 43% Expected goals 1.76 – 1.89
69%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds
2

Value bet: Inter Miami to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultInter Miami to win ✗43% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.35
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.25

Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Inter Miami travel to face Philadelphia Union on Thursday 20 August in the Major League Soccer, with Subaru Park the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT. In the table, Philadelphia Union are 6th, upper half, on 50 points after 34 matches; Inter Miami are 2nd (among the top four) with 60.

Current form

Philadelphia Union, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over New York City FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Inter Miami, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Nashville SC, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Philadelphia Union, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Inter Miami.

Head to head

When they last met (25 May 2026) it ended Inter Miami 6–4 Philadelphia Union.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Philadelphia Union 1.8 xG, Inter Miami 1.9 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Philadelphia Union 38%, draw 20%, Inter Miami 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.35.
  • Price worth noting: Inter Miami to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 43%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Philadelphia Union 1–2 Inter Miami. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Philadelphia Union38%fair 2.65 · @2.42
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @3.90
Inter Miami43%fair 2.34 · @2.50
3.65Expected goals
1.76Philadelphia Union xG
1.89Inter Miami xG
68%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
1–35%
0–15%

From our goals model: Philadelphia Union 1.8 – 1.9 Inter Miami expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultInter Miami to win ✗43%2.342.50 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80%1.241.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓68%1.481.35
Draw no betInter Miami (draw no bet)53%1.88–
Asian handicapPhiladelphia Union +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.161.12
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69%1.451.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗52%1.941.80
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓70%1.421.33
First team to scoreInter Miami to score first50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗35%2.84–
Half-time / full-timeHT Inter Miami / FT Inter Miami ✗25%3.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.25–

Recent results

Philadelphia Union – last 6

WLWLWW
16 Aug@ New York City FC3–2W
14 Augvs Santos Laguna0–2L
10 Augvs Necaxa3–1W
7 Aug@ Cruz Azul0–1L
2 Augvs Atlanta United FC3–2W
26 Julvs Seattle Sounders1–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Inter Miami – last 6

LLLWDW
16 Aug@ Nashville SC1–4L
13 Augvs Leon2–3L
9 Augvs Monterrey1–2L
6 Augvs Atletico San Luis4–2W
2 Augvs Columbus Crew2–2D
26 Jul@ CF Montreal1–0W
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 May 2026Inter Miami v Philadelphia Union6–4
Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC342383+4677
2Inter Miami3416126+2160
3New England Revolution3418412+858
4Chicago Fire3416711+1055
5Charlotte3415910+1554
6Philadelphia Union3414812+1450
7Columbus Crew3414515+747
8Orlando City SC3413714-1546
9FC Cincinnati34121012-846
10New York Red Bulls3412616-1442
11New York City FC34101212+442
12Toronto FC3491213-1539
13Atlanta United FC349619-1733
14DC United3471215-2233
15CF Montreal346820-3226

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami?

On our numbers Philadelphia Union have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Inter Miami 43%.

How many goals will there be in Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami?

Our predicted score is Philadelphia Union 1–2 Inter Miami, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami?

Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Subaru Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.