Toronto FC 39%Draw 21%Charlotte 40%Expected goals 1.52 – 1.53
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Charlotte to win @ 2.90 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCharlotte to win ✗40% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.86
Toronto FC vs Charlotte: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Thursday 20 August: Toronto FC v Charlotte in the Major League Soccer, played at BMO Field. In the table, Toronto FC are 12th, lower half, on 39 points after 34 matches; Charlotte are 5th (upper half) with 54. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Toronto FC, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over New England Revolution, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Charlotte, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Columbus Crew, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Charlotte, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Toronto FC.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Charlotte 3–1 Toronto FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Toronto FC 1.5 xG, Charlotte 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Toronto FC 39%, draw 21%, Charlotte 40%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Charlotte to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Toronto FC 1–1 Charlotte. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Toronto FC39%fair 2.54 · @2.22
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.65
Charlotte40%fair 2.51 · @2.90
3.05Expected goals
1.52Toronto FC xG
1.53Charlotte xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Toronto FC 1.5 – 1.5 Charlotte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Toronto FC vs Charlotte?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Toronto FC vs Charlotte?
On our numbers Toronto FC have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Charlotte 40%.
How many goals will there be in Toronto FC vs Charlotte?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toronto FC vs Charlotte?
Our predicted score is Toronto FC 1–1 Charlotte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Toronto FC vs Charlotte?
Toronto FC vs Charlotte (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at BMO Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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