Sporting Kansas City v St. Louis City Prediction & Expected Goals (20 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSt. Louis City to win ✗56% · @1.84

Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.50

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.17

Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

St. Louis City travel to face Sporting Kansas City on Thursday 20 August in the Major League Soccer, with Children's Mercy Park the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Sporting Kansas City are 15th, in the drop zone, on 26 points after 34 matches; St. Louis City are 3rd (among the top four) with 54. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Sporting Kansas City, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Colorado Rapids, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

St. Louis City, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over San Jose Earthquakes, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours St. Louis City, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.5 for Sporting Kansas City.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Jul 2026) it ended St. Louis City 3–2 Sporting Kansas City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sporting Kansas City 1.2 xG, St. Louis City 2.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting Kansas City 23%, draw 21%, St. Louis City 56%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting Kansas City 1–1 St. Louis City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sporting Kansas City23%fair 4.37 · @3.70

Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.85

St. Louis City56%fair 1.78 · @1.84

3.13Expected goals

1.17Sporting Kansas City xG

1.96St. Louis City xG

61%Both score

61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%

1–210%

0–19%

0–28%

1–36%

2–16%

From our goals model: Sporting Kansas City 1.2 – 2.0 St. Louis City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	St. Louis City to win ✗	56%	1.78	1.84
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	79%	1.26	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	61%	1.63	1.50
Draw no bet	St. Louis City (draw no bet)	71%	1.41	–
Asian handicap	Sporting Kansas City +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	67%	1.49	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	81%	1.23	1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	61%	1.65	1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	61%	1.64	1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	78%	1.27	1.22
First team to score	St. Louis City to score first ✓	60%	1.67	–
Half-time result	St. Louis City ahead at half-time ✓	42%	2.40	–
Half-time / full-time	HT St. Louis City / FT St. Louis City ✗	35%	2.85	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	10%	10.17	–

Sporting Kansas City – last 6

LLLWLL

16 Aug	@ Colorado Rapids	0–2	L
2 Aug	vs Houston Dynamo	0–2	L
26 Jul	@ Los Angeles FC	0–4	L
23 Jul	vs Minnesota United FC	2–1	W
17 Jul	@ St. Louis City	2–3	L
24 May	vs New York Red Bulls	1–2	L

0.8Scored / game

2.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

St. Louis City – last 6

WDWWWD

16 Aug	@ San Jose Earthquakes	3–1	W
2 Aug	vs Real Salt Lake	1–1	D
26 Jul	vs Colorado Rapids	1–0	W
23 Jul	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	3–1	W
17 Jul	vs Sporting Kansas City	3–2	W
17 May	@ DC United	1–1	D

2.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

83%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	34	19	7	8	+40	64
2	FC Dallas	34	16	10	8	+11	58
3	St. Louis City	34	15	9	10	+11	54
4	San Jose Earthquakes	34	14	10	10	+6	52
5	Houston Dynamo	34	14	9	11	0	51
6	Los Angeles FC	34	12	11	11	+12	47
7	Portland Timbers	34	13	7	14	+1	46
8	Seattle Sounders	34	12	10	12	-2	46
9	Real Salt Lake	34	13	6	15	+1	45
10	Minnesota United FC	34	11	11	12	-2	44
11	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	11	11	12	-7	44
12	Colorado Rapids	34	12	7	15	-3	43
13	San Diego	34	9	11	14	-6	38
14	Austin	34	8	10	16	-23	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	34	7	5	22	-41	26

Team

Pts

+40

+11

+11

+12

-2

-2

-7

-3

-6

-23

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City?

On our numbers Sporting Kansas City have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 21% and St. Louis City 56%.

How many goals will there be in Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City?

Our predicted score is Sporting Kansas City 1–1 St. Louis City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City?

Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Children's Mercy Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Sporting Kansas City v St. Louis City: numbers & prediction