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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Minnesota United FC v Atlanta United FC: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · Allianz Field
Minnesota United FC 66%Draw 21%Atlanta United FC 12% Expected goals 2.10 – 0.80
66%
Betarazi pick

Minnesota United FC to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.63 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.63Odds

Picks by market

ResultMinnesota United FC to win ✗66% · @1.63
Double chanceMinnesota United FC or draw ✗88% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30

Minnesota United FC vs Atlanta United FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Minnesota United FC welcome Atlanta United FC to Allianz Field for a Major League Soccer fixture on Thursday 20 August (01:30 WAT). In the table, Minnesota United FC are 10th, lower half, on 44 points after 34 matches; Atlanta United FC are 13th (in the drop zone) with 33.

Current form

Minnesota United FC, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Real Salt Lake, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Atlanta United FC, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over New York Red Bulls, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Minnesota United FC, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Atlanta United FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Minnesota United FC 2.1 xG, Atlanta United FC 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Minnesota United FC 66%, draw 21%, Atlanta United FC 12%.
  • Lower-risk option: Minnesota United FC or draw (88%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Minnesota United FC to win (66%, odds 1.63 – longer than our fair 1.50, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Minnesota United FC 2–0 Atlanta United FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Minnesota United FC66%fair 1.50 · @1.63
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @4.10
Atlanta United FC12%fair 8.17 · @4.70
2.90Expected goals
2.10Minnesota United FC xG
0.80Atlanta United FC xG
58%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Minnesota United FC 2.1 – 0.8 Atlanta United FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMinnesota United FC to win ✗66%1.501.63 ▲
Double chanceMinnesota United FC or draw ✗88%1.141.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.57
Draw no betMinnesota United FC (draw no bet) ✗84%1.18–
Asian handicapMinnesota United FC -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.261.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.731.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.571.55
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.241.22
First team to scoreMinnesota United FC to score first ✗68%1.46–
Half-time resultMinnesota United FC ahead at half-time ✗49%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT Minnesota United FC / FT Minnesota United FC ✗44%2.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.30–

Recent results

Minnesota United FC – last 6

DWDLDD
16 Aug@ Real Salt Lake1–1D
12 Augvs Atlante FC3–1W
8 Aug@ Tigres UANL0–0D
5 Augvs FC Juarez1–2L
2 Augvs San Diego1–1D
26 Julvs Vancouver Whitecaps0–0D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Atlanta United FC – last 6

WLLDLL
16 Augvs New York Red Bulls2–1W
2 Aug@ Philadelphia Union2–3L
26 Jul@ New England Revolution1–4L
23 Jul@ Charlotte2–2D
18 Jul@ Nashville SC0–1L
24 May@ Columbus Crew0–2L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Minnesota United FC and Atlanta United FC.

Minnesota United FC vs Atlanta United FC head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps341978+4064
2FC Dallas3416108+1158
3St. Louis City3415910+1154
4San Jose Earthquakes34141010+652
5Houston Dynamo3414911051
6Los Angeles FC34121111+1247
7Portland Timbers3413714+146
8Seattle Sounders34121012-246
9Real Salt Lake3413615+145
10Minnesota United FC34111112-244
11Los Angeles Galaxy34111112-744
12Colorado Rapids3412715-343
13San Diego3491114-638
14Austin3481016-2334
15Sporting Kansas City347522-4126

More Major League Soccer predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Minnesota United FC vs Atlanta United FC?

Our pick is Minnesota United FC to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.63.

Who will win Minnesota United FC vs Atlanta United FC?

On our numbers Minnesota United FC have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Atlanta United FC 12%.

How many goals will there be in Minnesota United FC vs Atlanta United FC?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Minnesota United FC vs Atlanta United FC?

Our predicted score is Minnesota United FC 2–0 Atlanta United FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Minnesota United FC vs Atlanta United FC?

Minnesota United FC vs Atlanta United FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.