Value bet: FC Cincinnati to win @ 1.90 – our chance 61% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFC Cincinnati to win ✓61% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.78
FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Cincinnati welcome New York City FC to TQL Stadium for a Major League Soccer fixture on Thursday 20 August (00:30 WAT). In the table, FC Cincinnati are 9th, lower half, on 46 points after 34 matches; New York City FC are 11th (lower half) with 42.
Current form
FC Cincinnati, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Orlando City SC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
New York City FC, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Philadelphia Union, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FC Cincinnati, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for New York City FC.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Apr 2026) it ended New York City FC 4–4 FC Cincinnati.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Cincinnati 2.3 xG, New York City FC 1.3 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 69% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Cincinnati 61%, draw 16%, New York City FC 23%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: FC Cincinnati to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Cincinnati 2–1 New York City FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Cincinnati61%fair 1.64 · @1.90
Draw16%fair 6.21 · @3.95
New York City FC23%fair 4.39 · @3.40
3.66Expected goals
2.33FC Cincinnati xG
1.34New York City FC xG
69%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: FC Cincinnati 2.3 – 1.3 New York City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC?
On our numbers FC Cincinnati have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 16% and New York City FC 23%.
How many goals will there be in FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC?
Our predicted score is FC Cincinnati 2–1 New York City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC?
FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at TQL Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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