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New York Red Bulls v Nashville SC: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · Sports Illustrated Stadium
0–1
FT
New York Red Bulls 35%Draw 20%Nashville SC 45% Expected goals 1.50 – 1.72
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.48Odds

Picks by market

ResultNashville SC to win ✓45% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.28

New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:30 WAT, Thursday 20 August: New York Red Bulls v Nashville SC in the Major League Soccer, played at Sports Illustrated Stadium. In the table, New York Red Bulls are 10th, lower half, on 42 points after 34 matches; Nashville SC are 1st (leading the league) with 77. There are 35 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

New York Red Bulls, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Atlanta United FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Nashville SC, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Inter Miami, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give New York Red Bulls 1.5 xG, Nashville SC 1.7 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – New York Red Bulls 35%, draw 20%, Nashville SC 45%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.48.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: New York Red Bulls 1–1 Nashville SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

New York Red Bulls35%fair 2.82 · @2.78
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.85
Nashville SC45%fair 2.23 · @2.22
3.22Expected goals
1.50New York Red Bulls xG
1.72Nashville SC xG
63%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–06%

From our goals model: New York Red Bulls 1.5 – 1.7 Nashville SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNashville SC to win ✓45%2.232.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.591.48
Draw no betNashville SC (draw no bet) ✓56%1.79–
Asian handicapNew York Red Bulls +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82%1.221.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62%1.621.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.671.57
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.291.22
First team to scoreNashville SC to score first ✓51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓38%2.63–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nashville SC / FT Nashville SC ✗26%3.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.28–

Recent results

New York Red Bulls – last 6

LWLLWD
16 Aug@ Atlanta United FC1–2L
2 Augvs Orlando City SC3–2W
25 Julvs Charlotte0–2L
23 Jul@ Philadelphia Union1–3L
24 May@ Sporting Kansas City2–1W
17 Mayvs New York City FC1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Nashville SC – last 6

WLWLDL
16 Augvs Inter Miami4–1W
13 Aug@ Monterrey1–2L
10 Augvs Atletico San Luis4–1W
6 Augvs Leon0–1L
2 Aug@ DC United2–2D
26 Jul@ Orlando City SC0–1L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between New York Red Bulls and Nashville SC.

New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC342383+4677
2Inter Miami3416126+2160
3New England Revolution3418412+858
4Chicago Fire3416711+1055
5Charlotte3415910+1554
6Philadelphia Union3414812+1450
7Columbus Crew3414515+747
8Orlando City SC3413714-1546
9FC Cincinnati34121012-846
10New York Red Bulls3412616-1442
11New York City FC34101212+442
12Toronto FC3491213-1539
13Atlanta United FC349619-1733
14DC United3471215-2233
15CF Montreal346820-3226

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC?

On our numbers New York Red Bulls have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Nashville SC 45%.

How many goals will there be in New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC?

Our predicted score is New York Red Bulls 1–1 Nashville SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC?

New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Sports Illustrated Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.