Atlanta United FC v FC Cincinnati Prediction & Expected Goals (11 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAtlanta United FC to win ✗43% · @2.38

Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.36

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.40

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.31

Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 11 October the Major League Soccer brings Atlanta United FC against FC Cincinnati at Atlanta Stadium. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, Atlanta United FC are 13th, in the drop zone, on 33 points after 34 matches; FC Cincinnati are 9th (lower half) with 46. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Atlanta United FC, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with New York City FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

FC Cincinnati, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to CF Montreal, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Atlanta United FC, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for FC Cincinnati.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atlanta United FC 1.9 xG, FC Cincinnati 1.8 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Atlanta United FC 43%, draw 21%, FC Cincinnati 37%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.36.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlanta United FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atlanta United FC43%fair 2.35 · @2.38

Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.60

FC Cincinnati37%fair 2.72 · @2.50

3.70Expected goals

1.92Atlanta United FC xG

1.78FC Cincinnati xG

68%Both score

71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–18%

2–18%

1–28%

2–27%

3–15%

1–05%

From our goals model: Atlanta United FC 1.9 – 1.8 FC Cincinnati expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Atlanta United FC to win ✗	43%	2.35	2.38
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	79%	1.26	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	68%	1.46	1.36
Draw no bet	Atlanta United FC (draw no bet) ✗	54%	1.86	–
Asian handicap	FC Cincinnati +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	72%	1.40	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	88%	1.13	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	71%	1.40	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✓	51%	1.98	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	69%	1.46	–
First team to score	Atlanta United FC to score first	51%	1.97	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	35%	2.86	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Atlanta United FC / FT Atlanta United FC ✗	26%	3.89	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	12.31	–

Atlanta United FC – last 6

DWDLDL

27 Sep	vs New York City FC	2–2	D
20 Sep	@ Portland Timbers	1–0	W
13 Sep	@ DC United	0–0	D
10 Sep	vs Orlando City SC	2–3	L
6 Sep	@ Inter Miami	2–2	D
30 Aug	vs Charlotte	0–2	L

1.2Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

FC Cincinnati – last 6

LDDLLD

27 Sep	@ CF Montreal	1–3	L
20 Sep	@ Houston Dynamo	2–2	D
13 Sep	vs Charlotte	3–3	D
10 Sep	@ Philadelphia Union	0–5	L
30 Aug	@ Nashville SC	0–4	L
23 Aug	vs Seattle Sounders	1–1	D

1.2Scored / game

3.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	23	8	3	+46	77
2	Inter Miami	34	16	12	6	+21	60
3	New England Revolution	34	18	4	12	+8	58
4	Chicago Fire	34	16	7	11	+10	55
5	Charlotte	34	15	9	10	+15	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	14	8	12	+14	50
7	Columbus Crew	34	14	5	15	+7	47
8	Orlando City SC	34	13	7	14	-15	46
9	FC Cincinnati	34	12	10	12	-8	46
10	New York Red Bulls	34	12	6	16	-14	42
11	New York City FC	34	10	12	12	+4	42
12	Toronto FC	34	9	12	13	-15	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	9	6	19	-17	33
14	DC United	34	7	12	15	-22	33
15	CF Montreal	34	6	8	20	-32	26

Team

Pts

Nashville SC

+46

Inter Miami

+21

New England Revolution

+10

+15

+14

-15

-8

-14

-15

-17

-22

-32

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati?

On our numbers Atlanta United FC have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Cincinnati 37%.

How many goals will there be in Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati?

Our predicted score is Atlanta United FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati?

Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Atlanta Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Atlanta United FC v FC Cincinnati: numbers & prediction