Austin v Nashville SC Prediction & Expected Goals (11 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultNashville SC to win ✓56% · @1.85

Double chanceNashville SC or draw ✓80% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.09

Austin vs Nashville SC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:30 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Austin v Nashville SC in the Major League Soccer, played at Q2 Stadium. In the table, Austin are 14th, in the drop zone, on 34 points after 34 matches; Nashville SC are 1st (leading the league) with 77. There are 43 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Austin, last 5: DDWDD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with San Diego, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Nashville SC, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Toronto FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Austin 1.0 xG, Nashville SC 1.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 59%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Austin 20%, draw 24%, Nashville SC 56%.
Lower-risk option: Nashville SC or draw (80%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Nashville SC or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Austin 1–1 Nashville SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Austin20%fair 4.97 · @3.60

Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.50

Nashville SC56%fair 1.78 · @1.85

2.93Expected goals

1.05Austin xG

1.88Nashville SC xG

59%Both score

56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

0–110%

1–210%

0–29%

1–36%

0–36%

From our goals model: Austin 1.0 – 1.9 Nashville SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Nashville SC to win ✓	56%	1.78	1.85
Double chance	Nashville SC or draw ✓	80%	1.25	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	59%	1.70	1.62
Draw no bet	Nashville SC (draw no bet) ✓	74%	1.36	–
Asian handicap	Austin +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	67%	1.49	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	79%	1.27	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	56%	1.78	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	66%	1.51	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	83%	1.21	–
First team to score	Nashville SC to score first ✓	61%	1.65	–
Half-time result	Nashville SC ahead at half-time ✓	42%	2.40	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Nashville SC / FT Nashville SC ✓	36%	2.81	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	10%	10.09	–

Austin – last 6

DDWDDW

27 Sep	vs San Diego	3–3	D
20 Sep	@ FC Dallas	0–0	D
13 Sep	@ Vancouver Whitecaps	2–1	W
10 Sep	vs Colorado Rapids	1–1	D
6 Sep	vs San Jose Earthquakes	1–1	D
30 Aug	@ Portland Timbers	2–1	W

1.5Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

83%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Nashville SC – last 6

WWDLDW

27 Sep	vs Toronto FC	2–0	W
20 Sep	vs Chicago Fire	3–0	W
13 Sep	@ Inter Miami	2–2	D
10 Sep	@ Toronto FC	1–2	L
5 Sep	@ New York City FC	0–0	D
30 Aug	vs FC Cincinnati	4–0	W

2.0Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	34	19	7	8	+40	64
2	FC Dallas	34	16	10	8	+11	58
3	St. Louis City	34	15	9	10	+11	54
4	San Jose Earthquakes	34	14	10	10	+6	52
5	Houston Dynamo	34	14	9	11	0	51
6	Los Angeles FC	34	12	11	11	+12	47
7	Portland Timbers	34	13	7	14	+1	46
8	Seattle Sounders	34	12	10	12	-2	46
9	Real Salt Lake	34	13	6	15	+1	45
10	Minnesota United FC	34	11	11	12	-2	44
11	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	11	11	12	-7	44
12	Colorado Rapids	34	12	7	15	-3	43
13	San Diego	34	9	11	14	-6	38
14	Austin	34	8	10	16	-23	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	34	7	5	22	-41	26

Team

Pts

+40

+11

+11

+12

-2

-2

-7

-3

-6

-23

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Austin vs Nashville SC?

Our pick is Nashville SC or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Austin vs Nashville SC?

On our numbers Austin have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nashville SC 56%.

How many goals will there be in Austin vs Nashville SC?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Austin vs Nashville SC?

Our predicted score is Austin 1–1 Nashville SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Austin vs Nashville SC?

Austin vs Nashville SC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Q2 Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Austin v Nashville SC: numbers & prediction