New York Red Bulls vs San Diego: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
New York Red Bulls welcome San Diego to Sports Illustrated Stadium for a Major League Soccer fixture on Sunday 11 October (00:30 WAT). In the table, New York Red Bulls are 10th, lower half, on 42 points after 34 matches; San Diego are 13th (in the drop zone) with 38.
Current form
New York Red Bulls, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to St. Louis City, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
San Diego, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Austin, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give New York Red Bulls 1.7 xG, San Diego 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 69% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – New York Red Bulls 40%, draw 21%, San Diego 39%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.36.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: New York Red Bulls 1–1 San Diego. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
New York Red Bulls40%fair 2.47 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.50
San Diego39%fair 2.59 · @2.38
3.31Expected goals
1.68New York Red Bulls xG
1.63San Diego xG
69%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: New York Red Bulls 1.7 – 1.6 San Diego expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
New York Red Bulls to win✓
40%
2.47
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.44
1.36
Draw no bet
New York Red Bulls (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
San Diego +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
First team to score
New York Red Bulls to score first✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT New York Red Bulls / FT New York Red Bulls✓
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.92
–
Recent results
New York Red Bulls – last 6
LWWLDL
1 Oct
vs St. Louis City
0–3
L
19 Sep
@ New York City FC
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ Columbus Crew
1–0
W
10 Sep
@ Los Angeles FC
0–2
L
6 Sep
@ Seattle Sounders
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs Philadelphia Union
1–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
San Diego – last 6
DDLLLW
27 Sep
@ Austin
3–3
D
21 Sep
@ Inter Miami
2–2
D
14 Sep
vs Philadelphia Union
0–5
L
10 Sep
vs San Jose Earthquakes
2–3
L
6 Sep
@ Orlando City SC
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Los Angeles Galaxy
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New York Red Bulls and San Diego.
What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls vs San Diego?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win New York Red Bulls vs San Diego?
On our numbers New York Red Bulls have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and San Diego 39%.
How many goals will there be in New York Red Bulls vs San Diego?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New York Red Bulls vs San Diego?
Our predicted score is New York Red Bulls 1–1 San Diego, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is New York Red Bulls vs San Diego?
New York Red Bulls vs San Diego (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Sports Illustrated Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Inter Miami4
DC United0
Atlanta United FC1
FC Cincinnati3
Orlando City SC3
Columbus Crew2
New England Revolution0
Philadelphia Union2
Charlotte3
Nashville SC4