Philadelphia Union v Real Salt Lake Prediction & Expected Goals (11 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPhiladelphia Union to win ✓71% · @1.36

Double chancePhiladelphia Union or draw ✓89% · @1.11

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.53

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.58

Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:30 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Philadelphia Union v Real Salt Lake in the Major League Soccer, played at Talen Energy Stadium. In the table, Philadelphia Union are 6th, upper half, on 50 points after 34 matches; Real Salt Lake are 9th (lower half) with 45.

Current form

Philadelphia Union, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Orlando City SC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Real Salt Lake, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over New England Revolution, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Philadelphia Union, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.7 for Real Salt Lake.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Philadelphia Union 2.5 xG, Real Salt Lake 0.9 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Philadelphia Union 71%, draw 19%, Real Salt Lake 11%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Philadelphia Union to win (71%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Philadelphia Union 2–0 Real Salt Lake. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Philadelphia Union71%fair 1.42 · @1.36

Draw19%fair 5.29 · @4.80

Real Salt Lake11%fair 9.43 · @6.00

3.37Expected goals

2.47Philadelphia Union xG

0.90Real Salt Lake xG

63%Both score

65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%

2–19%

3–09%

1–08%

3–18%

1–18%

From our goals model: Philadelphia Union 2.5 – 0.9 Real Salt Lake expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Philadelphia Union to win ✓	71%	1.42	1.36
Double chance	Philadelphia Union or draw ✓	89%	1.12	1.11
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	63%	1.59	1.53
Draw no bet	Philadelphia Union (draw no bet) ✓	87%	1.15	–
Asian handicap	Philadelphia Union -1 (Asian handicap)	64%	1.57	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	85%	1.18	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	65%	1.53	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	56%	1.77	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	75%	1.33	–
First team to score	Philadelphia Union to score first ✓	71%	1.41	–
Half-time result	Philadelphia Union ahead at half-time ✓	53%	1.89	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Philadelphia Union / FT Philadelphia Union ✓	48%	2.07	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✓	9%	10.58	–

Philadelphia Union – last 6

WWWWWW

27 Sep	vs Orlando City SC	4–2	W
20 Sep	@ Sporting Kansas City	4–3	W
14 Sep	@ San Diego	5–0	W
10 Sep	vs FC Cincinnati	5–0	W
6 Sep	vs CF Montreal	2–0	W
30 Aug	@ New York Red Bulls	3–1	W

3.8Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Real Salt Lake – last 6

WLLLLD

27 Sep	vs New England Revolution	3–0	W
24 Sep	@ Seattle Sounders	0–2	L
20 Sep	vs Vancouver Whitecaps	0–3	L
13 Sep	vs New York City FC	0–2	L
10 Sep	@ Houston Dynamo	1–2	L
6 Sep	vs Los Angeles FC	2–2	D

1.0Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	34	19	7	8	+40	64
2	FC Dallas	34	16	10	8	+11	58
3	St. Louis City	34	15	9	10	+11	54
4	San Jose Earthquakes	34	14	10	10	+6	52
5	Houston Dynamo	34	14	9	11	0	51
6	Los Angeles FC	34	12	11	11	+12	47
7	Portland Timbers	34	13	7	14	+1	46
8	Seattle Sounders	34	12	10	12	-2	46
9	Real Salt Lake	34	13	6	15	+1	45
10	Minnesota United FC	34	11	11	12	-2	44
11	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	11	11	12	-7	44
12	Colorado Rapids	34	12	7	15	-3	43
13	San Diego	34	9	11	14	-6	38
14	Austin	34	8	10	16	-23	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	34	7	5	22	-41	26

Team

Pts

+40

+11

+11

+12

-2

-2

-7

-3

-6

-23

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake?

Our pick is Philadelphia Union to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake?

On our numbers Philadelphia Union have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Real Salt Lake 11%.

How many goals will there be in Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake?

Our predicted score is Philadelphia Union 2–0 Real Salt Lake, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake?

Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Talen Energy Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Philadelphia Union v Real Salt Lake: numbers & prediction