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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Orlando City SC v Columbus Crew: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · Exploria Stadium
3–2
FT
Orlando City SC 44%Draw 20%Columbus Crew 36% Expected goals 1.89 – 1.70
70%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds
2

Value bet: Columbus Crew to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultOrlando City SC to win ✓44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.95

Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:30 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Orlando City SC v Columbus Crew in the Major League Soccer, played at Exploria Stadium. In the table, Orlando City SC are 8th, upper half, on 46 points after 34 matches; Columbus Crew are 7th (upper half) with 47. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Orlando City SC, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Philadelphia Union, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Columbus Crew, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Inter Miami, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Columbus Crew, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Orlando City SC.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Sep 2026) it ended Columbus Crew 2–1 Orlando City SC. The last 2 head-to-heads: Orlando City SC 0 wins, Columbus Crew 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Orlando City SC 1.9 xG, Columbus Crew 1.7 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Orlando City SC 44%, draw 20%, Columbus Crew 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.36.
  • Price worth noting: Columbus Crew to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orlando City SC 1–1 Columbus Crew. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Orlando City SC44%fair 2.29 · @2.05
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @3.70
Columbus Crew36%fair 2.76 · @3.00
3.59Expected goals
1.89Orlando City SC xG
1.70Columbus Crew xG
70%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%

From our goals model: Orlando City SC 1.9 – 1.7 Columbus Crew expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOrlando City SC to win ✓44%2.292.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓70%1.421.36
Draw no betOrlando City SC (draw no bet) ✓55%1.83–
Asian handicapColumbus Crew +1 (Asian handicap)71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70%1.44–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗52%1.93–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗71%1.41–
First team to scoreOrlando City SC to score first51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗36%2.81–
Half-time / full-timeHT Orlando City SC / FT Orlando City SC ✓26%3.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.95–

Recent results

Orlando City SC – last 6

LLLWWW
27 Sep@ Philadelphia Union2–4L
20 Sep@ New England Revolution2–4L
17 Sep@ Columbus Crew1–2L
13 Sepvs Toronto FC3–0W
10 Sep@ Atlanta United FC3–2W
6 Sepvs San Diego1–0W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Columbus Crew – last 6

WWWLLW
28 Sepvs Inter Miami2–1W
20 Sep@ CF Montreal2–0W
17 Sepvs Orlando City SC2–1W
13 Sepvs New York Red Bulls0–1L
10 Sep@ DC United1–2L
6 Sepvs Colorado Rapids3–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Sep 2026Columbus Crew v Orlando City SC2–1
13 Apr 2026Columbus Crew v Orlando City SC1–1
Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC342383+4677
2Inter Miami3416126+2160
3New England Revolution3418412+858
4Chicago Fire3416711+1055
5Charlotte3415910+1554
6Philadelphia Union3414812+1450
7Columbus Crew3414515+747
8Orlando City SC3413714-1546
9FC Cincinnati34121012-846
10New York Red Bulls3412616-1442
11New York City FC34101212+442
12Toronto FC3491213-1539
13Atlanta United FC349619-1733
14DC United3471215-2233
15CF Montreal346820-3226

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew?

On our numbers Orlando City SC have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Columbus Crew 36%.

How many goals will there be in Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew?

Our predicted score is Orlando City SC 1–1 Columbus Crew, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew?

Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Exploria Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.