Minnesota United FC 44%Draw 22%Houston Dynamo 34%Expected goals 1.55 – 1.32
61%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Houston Dynamo to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMinnesota United FC to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.13
Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 11 October the Major League Soccer brings Minnesota United FC against Houston Dynamo at Allianz Field. Kick-off: 01:30 WAT. In the table, Minnesota United FC are 10th, lower half, on 44 points after 34 matches; Houston Dynamo are 5th (upper half) with 51.
Current form
Minnesota United FC, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Seattle Sounders, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Houston Dynamo, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sporting Kansas City, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Houston Dynamo, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.2 for Minnesota United FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Minnesota United FC 1.5 xG, Houston Dynamo 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Minnesota United FC 44%, draw 22%, Houston Dynamo 34%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Houston Dynamo to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Minnesota United FC 1–1 Houston Dynamo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Minnesota United FC44%fair 2.26 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.30
Houston Dynamo34%fair 2.94 · @3.25
2.87Expected goals
1.55Minnesota United FC xG
1.32Houston Dynamo xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Minnesota United FC 1.5 – 1.3 Houston Dynamo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Minnesota United FC to win✗
44%
2.26
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.62
Draw no bet
Minnesota United FC (draw no bet)
56%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Houston Dynamo +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
First team to score
Minnesota United FC to score first✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Minnesota United FC / FT Minnesota United FC✗
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.13
–
Recent results
Minnesota United FC – last 6
LLLLLD
27 Sep
@ Seattle Sounders
1–3
L
20 Sep
vs Los Angeles Galaxy
2–3
L
13 Sep
@ St. Louis City
2–4
L
10 Sep
vs FC Dallas
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ Portland Timbers
4–5
L
30 Aug
vs Orlando City SC
3–3
D
2.2Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Houston Dynamo – last 6
LDLWDD
27 Sep
vs Sporting Kansas City
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs FC Cincinnati
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ San Jose Earthquakes
0–1
L
10 Sep
vs Real Salt Lake
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Charlotte
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs San Jose Earthquakes
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Minnesota United FC and Houston Dynamo.
What is the prediction for Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo?
On our numbers Minnesota United FC have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Houston Dynamo 34%.
How many goals will there be in Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo?
Our predicted score is Minnesota United FC 1–1 Houston Dynamo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo?
Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Inter Miami4
DC United0
Atlanta United FC1
FC Cincinnati3
Orlando City SC3
Columbus Crew2
New England Revolution0
Philadelphia Union2
New York Red Bulls4
Charlotte3
Nashville SC4