Sporting Kansas City v Portland Timbers Prediction & Expected Goals (11 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPortland Timbers to win ✗45% · @2.15

Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.33

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.42

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.83

Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:30 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Sporting Kansas City v Portland Timbers in the Major League Soccer, played at Children's Mercy Park. In the table, Sporting Kansas City are 15th, in the drop zone, on 26 points after 34 matches; Portland Timbers are 7th (upper half) with 46. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Sporting Kansas City, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Seattle Sounders, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Portland Timbers, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to San Jose Earthquakes, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended Portland Timbers 6–0 Sporting Kansas City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sporting Kansas City 1.7 xG, Portland Timbers 1.9 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting Kansas City 35%, draw 20%, Portland Timbers 45%.
GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.33.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (71%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting Kansas City 1–1 Portland Timbers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sporting Kansas City35%fair 2.86 · @2.70

Draw20%fair 5.11 · @3.80

Portland Timbers45%fair 2.20 · @2.15

3.63Expected goals

1.68Sporting Kansas City xG

1.95Portland Timbers xG

71%Both score

70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%

1–28%

2–17%

2–27%

1–35%

0–15%

From our goals model: Sporting Kansas City 1.7 – 1.9 Portland Timbers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Portland Timbers to win ✗	45%	2.20	2.15
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	80%	1.24	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	71%	1.42	1.33
Draw no bet	Portland Timbers (draw no bet)	57%	1.77	–
Asian handicap	Sporting Kansas City +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	69%	1.44	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	88%	1.14	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	70%	1.42	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	51%	1.97	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	70%	1.43	–
First team to score	Portland Timbers to score first	52%	1.92	–
Half-time result	Portland Timbers ahead at half-time ✓	36%	2.81	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Portland Timbers / FT Portland Timbers ✗	27%	3.67	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	11.83	–

Sporting Kansas City – last 6

LWLWLL

2 Oct	@ Seattle Sounders	1–2	L
27 Sep	@ Houston Dynamo	2–0	W
20 Sep	vs Philadelphia Union	3–4	L
13 Sep	vs Los Angeles FC	3–1	W
6 Sep	@ FC Dallas	3–4	L
30 Aug	vs Vancouver Whitecaps	0–3	L

2.0Scored / game

2.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Portland Timbers – last 6

LLLDWL

27 Sep	@ San Jose Earthquakes	1–3	L
20 Sep	vs Atlanta United FC	0–1	L
13 Sep	@ FC Dallas	1–2	L
10 Sep	vs St. Louis City	2–2	D
6 Sep	vs Minnesota United FC	5–4	W
30 Aug	vs Austin	1–2	L

1.7Scored / game

2.3Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	34	19	7	8	+40	64
2	FC Dallas	34	16	10	8	+11	58
3	St. Louis City	34	15	9	10	+11	54
4	San Jose Earthquakes	34	14	10	10	+6	52
5	Houston Dynamo	34	14	9	11	0	51
6	Los Angeles FC	34	12	11	11	+12	47
7	Portland Timbers	34	13	7	14	+1	46
8	Seattle Sounders	34	12	10	12	-2	46
9	Real Salt Lake	34	13	6	15	+1	45
10	Minnesota United FC	34	11	11	12	-2	44
11	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	11	11	12	-7	44
12	Colorado Rapids	34	12	7	15	-3	43
13	San Diego	34	9	11	14	-6	38
14	Austin	34	8	10	16	-23	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	34	7	5	22	-41	26

Team

Pts

+40

+11

+11

+12

-2

-2

-7

-3

-6

-23

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers?

On our numbers Sporting Kansas City have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Portland Timbers 45%.

How many goals will there be in Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers?

Our predicted score is Sporting Kansas City 1–1 Portland Timbers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers?

Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Children's Mercy Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Sporting Kansas City v Portland Timbers: numbers & prediction