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Internacional v Chapecoense-sc: numbers & prediction

Serie A · Brazil
Sun 22 Mar 2026
Internacional 66%Draw 21%Chapecoense-sc 12% Expected goals 1.94 – 0.76
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultInternacional to win66% · @1.44
Double chanceInternacional or draw88% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.39

Internacional vs Chapecoense-sc: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 22 March the Serie A brings Internacional against Chapecoense-sc. Kick-off: 22:30 WAT. In the table, Internacional are 16th, lower half, on 38 points after 34 matches; Chapecoense-sc are 20th (in the drop zone) with 21. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Internacional, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Santos, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Chapecoense-sc, last 4: DDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Corinthians, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Internacional 1.9 xG, Chapecoense-sc 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Internacional 66%, draw 21%, Chapecoense-sc 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.90.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Internacional 2–0 Chapecoense-sc. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Internacional66%fair 1.51 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @4.10
Chapecoense-sc12%fair 8.01 · @7.50
2.71Expected goals
1.94Internacional xG
0.76Chapecoense-sc xG
52%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: Internacional 1.9 – 0.8 Chapecoense-sc expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

InternacionalChapecoense-sc
Attack vs Serie A average-15%-22%
Goals conceded vs average-5%+53%
Our expected goals here1.990.85

Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultInternacional to win66%1.511.44
Double chanceInternacional or draw88%1.141.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score52%1.921.90
Draw no betInternacional (draw no bet)84%1.19–
Asian handicapInternacional -0.5 (Asian handicap)65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals75%1.331.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals52%1.931.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals69%1.441.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals85%1.181.14
First team to scoreInternacional to score first67%1.49–
Half-time resultInternacional ahead at half-time46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Internacional / FT Internacional42%2.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.39–

Recent results

Internacional – last 6

WLLDWL
19 Mar@ Santos2–1W
15 Marvs Bahia0–1L
11 Mar@ Atletico-MG0–1L
25 Feb@ remo1–1D
16 Feb@ Ypiranga-RS3–0W
13 Febvs Palmeiras1–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Chapecoense-sc – last 4

DDLW
20 Marvs Corinthians0–0D
17 Marvs Gremio1–1D
13 Mar@ Sao Paulo0–2L
22 Febvs Brusque3–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Internacional and Chapecoense-sc.

Internacional vs Chapecoense-sc head-to-head page →

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo342374+4276
2Palmeiras3421103+3973
3Cruzeiro3418610+760
4Fluminense341699+1357
5Atletico Paranaense3415910+854
6Bahia3414119+553
7Atletico-MG3414812+450
8RB Bragantino3413813+547
9Santos34121111+147
10Sao Paulo3412814044
11Botafogo3411914-742
12Coritiba3411914-1142
13Vasco DA Gama3311814-741
14Mirassol34101014-940
15Vitoria3410816-1638
16Internacional3491114-438
17Corinthians3491015-637
18Gremio3491015-937
19Remo3461117-2029
20Chapecoense-sc334920-3521

More Serie A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Internacional vs Chapecoense-sc?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Internacional vs Chapecoense-sc?

On our numbers Internacional have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chapecoense-sc 12%.

How many goals will there be in Internacional vs Chapecoense-sc?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Internacional vs Chapecoense-sc?

Our predicted score is Internacional 2–0 Chapecoense-sc, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Internacional vs Chapecoense-sc?

Internacional vs Chapecoense-sc (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.