Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–08% · fair 12.95
Mirassol vs Chapecoense-sc: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:30 WAT, Sunday 10 May: Mirassol v Chapecoense-sc in the Serie A. In the table, Mirassol are 14th, lower half, on 40 points after 34 matches; Chapecoense-sc are 20th (in the drop zone) with 21. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Mirassol, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over LDU de Quito, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Chapecoense-sc, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Operario-PR, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mirassol 2.0 xG, Chapecoense-sc 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mirassol 64%, draw 21%, Chapecoense-sc 15%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mirassol 2–0 Chapecoense-sc. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mirassol64%fair 1.57 · @1.49
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @4.10
Chapecoense-sc15%fair 6.49 · @6.50
2.88Expected goals
2.02Mirassol xG
0.86Chapecoense-sc xG
50%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Mirassol 2.0 – 0.9 Chapecoense-sc expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mirassol
Chapecoense-sc
Attack vs Serie A average
-9%
-22%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
+53%
Our expected goals here
2.13
0.88
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mirassol to win
64%
1.57
1.49
Double chance
Mirassol or draw
85%
1.18
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
50%
1.98
1.83
Draw no bet
Mirassol (draw no bet)
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Mirassol -0.5 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
77%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
54%
1.86
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
84%
1.20
1.13
First team to score
Mirassol to score first
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Mirassol ahead at half-time
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mirassol / FT Mirassol
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0
8%
12.95
–
Recent results
Mirassol – last 6
WWWLDW
7 May
vs LDU de Quito
2–0
W
4 May
vs Corinthians
2–1
W
29 Apr
vs Always Ready
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Sao Paulo
0–1
L
23 Apr
@ RB Bragantino
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Internacional
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Chapecoense-sc – last 6
WWLDWD
7 May
@ Operario-PR
2–1
W
29 Apr
vs America Mineiro
2–1
W
21 Apr
@ Botafogo
0–1
L
16 Apr
@ Juventude
0–0
D
8 Apr
vs Avai
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs Vitoria
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mirassol and Chapecoense-sc.
What is the prediction for Mirassol vs Chapecoense-sc?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Mirassol vs Chapecoense-sc?
On our numbers Mirassol have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chapecoense-sc 15%.
How many goals will there be in Mirassol vs Chapecoense-sc?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mirassol vs Chapecoense-sc?
Our predicted score is Mirassol 2–0 Chapecoense-sc, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Mirassol vs Chapecoense-sc?
Mirassol vs Chapecoense-sc (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
