Santos vs RB Bragantino: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
RB Bragantino travel to face Santos on Sunday 10 May in the Serie A, with Estadio Urbano Caldeira the venue – the ball rolls at 22:30 WAT. In the table, Santos are 9th, upper half, on 47 points after 34 matches; RB Bragantino are 8th (upper half) with 47. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Santos, last 5: DDDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Deportivo Recoleta, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
RB Bragantino, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Blooming, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours RB Bragantino, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Santos.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santos 1.5 xG, RB Bragantino 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santos 44%, draw 26%, RB Bragantino 30%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santos 1–1 RB Bragantino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santos44%fair 2.29 · @2.24
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.35
RB Bragantino30%fair 3.28 · @3.10
2.56Expected goals
1.45Santos xG
1.11RB Bragantino xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Santos 1.5 – 1.1 RB Bragantino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Santos
RB Bragantino
Attack vs Serie A average
+11%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
-7%
-12%
Our expected goals here
1.50
1.08
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santos to win
44%
2.29
2.24
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
50%
1.98
1.85
Draw no bet
Santos (draw no bet)
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
RB Bragantino +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
88%
1.13
1.07
First team to score
Santos to score first
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santos / FT Santos
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.09
–
Recent results
Santos – last 6
DDDDWL
6 May
@ Deportivo Recoleta
1–1
D
28 Apr
@ San Lorenzo
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs Coritiba
0–0
D
15 Apr
vs Deportivo Recoleta
1–1
D
12 Apr
vs Atletico-MG
1–0
W
8 Apr
@ Deportivo Cuenca
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
RB Bragantino – last 6
WLDWLW
8 May
@ Blooming
6–0
W
1 May
vs River Plate
0–1
L
23 Apr
vs Mirassol
1–1
D
17 Apr
vs Blooming
3–2
W
10 Apr
@ Carabobo FC
0–1
L
6 Apr
@ Mirassol
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santos and RB Bragantino.
What is the prediction for Santos vs RB Bragantino?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Santos vs RB Bragantino?
On our numbers Santos have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and RB Bragantino 30%.
How many goals will there be in Santos vs RB Bragantino?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santos vs RB Bragantino?
Our predicted score is Santos 1–1 RB Bragantino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Santos vs RB Bragantino?
Santos vs RB Bragantino (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Urbano Caldeira.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
