Botafogo vs Corinthians: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Botafogo v Corinthians in the Serie A, played at Estádio Nilton Santos. In the table, Botafogo are 11th, lower half, on 42 points after 34 matches; Corinthians are 17th (lower half) with 37.
Current form
Botafogo, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Chapecoense-sc, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Corinthians, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Barra, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Botafogo 1.3 xG, Corinthians 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Botafogo 41%, draw 27%, Corinthians 32%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botafogo 1–1 Corinthians. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Botafogo41%fair 2.45 · @2.30
Draw27%fair 3.64 · @3.20
Corinthians32%fair 3.15 · @3.10
2.45Expected goals
1.32Botafogo xG
1.13Corinthians xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Botafogo 1.3 – 1.1 Corinthians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Botafogo
Corinthians
Attack vs Serie A average
-23%
-15%
Goals conceded vs average
+6%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.21
1.03
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botafogo to win✓
41%
2.45
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.38
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.85
Draw no bet
Botafogo (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Corinthians +1 (Asian handicap)✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.07
First team to score
Botafogo to score first
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botafogo / FT Botafogo✓
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.76
–
Recent results
Botafogo – last 6
LWWWWD
14 May
@ Chapecoense-sc
0–2
L
7 May
vs Racing Club
2–1
W
28 Apr
vs Independiente Petrolero
3–0
W
21 Apr
vs Chapecoense-sc
1–0
W
15 Apr
@ Racing Club
3–2
W
9 Apr
vs Caracas FC
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Corinthians – last 6
WDLWWD
14 May
vs Barra
1–0
W
7 May
@ Santa Fe
1–1
D
4 May
@ Mirassol
1–2
L
1 May
vs Penarol
2–0
W
22 Apr
@ Barra
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Vitoria
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Botafogo and Corinthians.
What is the prediction for Botafogo vs Corinthians?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Botafogo vs Corinthians?
On our numbers Botafogo have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Corinthians 32%.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo vs Corinthians?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botafogo vs Corinthians?
Our predicted score is Botafogo 1–1 Corinthians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Botafogo vs Corinthians?
Botafogo vs Corinthians (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Nilton Santos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
