RB Bragantino vs Vitoria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Vitoria travel to face RB Bragantino on Sunday 17 May in the Serie A, with Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques the venue – the ball rolls at 22:30 WAT. In the table, RB Bragantino are 8th, upper half, on 47 points after 34 matches; Vitoria are 15th (lower half) with 38.
Current form
RB Bragantino, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Mirassol, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Vitoria, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Flamengo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Vitoria, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for RB Bragantino.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give RB Bragantino 1.8 xG, Vitoria 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – RB Bragantino 61%, draw 23%, Vitoria 15%.
Lower-risk option: RB Bragantino or draw (85%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: RB Bragantino 1–0 Vitoria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
RB Bragantino61%fair 1.63 · @1.65
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.65
Vitoria15%fair 6.47 · @5.30
2.52Expected goals
1.79RB Bragantino xG
0.73Vitoria xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: RB Bragantino 1.8 – 0.7 Vitoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
RB Bragantino
Vitoria
Attack vs Serie A average
+2%
-32%
Goals conceded vs average
-12%
+16%
Our expected goals here
1.80
0.69
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
RB Bragantino to win✓
61%
1.63
1.65
Double chance
RB Bragantino or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.91
Draw no bet
RB Bragantino (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
RB Bragantino -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.09
First team to score
RB Bragantino to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
RB Bragantino ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT RB Bragantino / FT RB Bragantino✓
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.62
–
Recent results
RB Bragantino – last 6
LWLDWL
14 May
@ Mirassol
1–2
L
8 May
@ Blooming
6–0
W
1 May
vs River Plate
0–1
L
23 Apr
vs Mirassol
1–1
D
17 Apr
vs Blooming
3–2
W
10 Apr
@ Carabobo FC
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vitoria – last 6
WWDLDW
15 May
vs Flamengo
2–0
W
7 May
vs Ceara
1–0
W
30 Apr
@ Confiança
2–2
D
23 Apr
@ Flamengo
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Corinthians
0–0
D
16 Apr
vs Piauí
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between RB Bragantino and Vitoria.
What is the prediction for RB Bragantino vs Vitoria?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win RB Bragantino vs Vitoria?
On our numbers RB Bragantino have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Vitoria 15%.
How many goals will there be in RB Bragantino vs Vitoria?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for RB Bragantino vs Vitoria?
Our predicted score is RB Bragantino 1–0 Vitoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is RB Bragantino vs Vitoria?
RB Bragantino vs Vitoria (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.