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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

RB Bragantino v Vitoria: numbers & prediction

Serie A · Brazil · Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques
2–0
FT

Vitoria

WWDLD
RB Bragantino 61%Draw 23%Vitoria 15% Expected goals 1.79 – 0.73
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultRB Bragantino to win ✓61% · @1.65
Double chanceRB Bragantino or draw ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.62

RB Bragantino vs Vitoria: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Vitoria travel to face RB Bragantino on Sunday 17 May in the Serie A, with Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques the venue – the ball rolls at 22:30 WAT. In the table, RB Bragantino are 8th, upper half, on 47 points after 34 matches; Vitoria are 15th (lower half) with 38.

Current form

RB Bragantino, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Mirassol, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Vitoria, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Flamengo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Vitoria, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for RB Bragantino.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give RB Bragantino 1.8 xG, Vitoria 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – RB Bragantino 61%, draw 23%, Vitoria 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: RB Bragantino or draw (85%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: RB Bragantino 1–0 Vitoria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

RB Bragantino61%fair 1.63 · @1.65
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.65
Vitoria15%fair 6.47 · @5.30
2.52Expected goals
1.79RB Bragantino xG
0.73Vitoria xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%

From our goals model: RB Bragantino 1.8 – 0.7 Vitoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

RB BragantinoVitoria
Attack vs Serie A average+2%-32%
Goals conceded vs average-12%+16%
Our expected goals here1.800.69

Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRB Bragantino to win ✓61%1.631.65
Double chanceRB Bragantino or draw ✓85%1.181.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.931.91
Draw no betRB Bragantino (draw no bet) ✓80%1.25–
Asian handicapRB Bragantino -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.401.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.881.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.341.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.09
First team to scoreRB Bragantino to score first ✓65%1.53–
Half-time resultRB Bragantino ahead at half-time ✓44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT RB Bragantino / FT RB Bragantino ✓39%2.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.62–

Recent results

RB Bragantino – last 6

LWLDWL
14 May@ Mirassol1–2L
8 May@ Blooming6–0W
1 Mayvs River Plate0–1L
23 Aprvs Mirassol1–1D
17 Aprvs Blooming3–2W
10 Apr@ Carabobo FC0–1L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Vitoria – last 6

WWDLDW
15 Mayvs Flamengo2–0W
7 Mayvs Ceara1–0W
30 Apr@ Confiança2–2D
23 Apr@ Flamengo1–2L
19 Aprvs Corinthians0–0D
16 Aprvs Piauí3–1W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between RB Bragantino and Vitoria.

RB Bragantino vs Vitoria head-to-head page →

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo342374+4276
2Palmeiras3421103+3973
3Cruzeiro3418610+760
4Fluminense341699+1357
5Atletico Paranaense3415910+854
6Bahia3414119+553
7Atletico-MG3414812+450
8RB Bragantino3413813+547
9Santos34121111+147
10Sao Paulo3412814044
11Botafogo3411914-742
12Coritiba3411914-1142
13Vasco DA Gama3311814-741
14Mirassol34101014-940
15Vitoria3410816-1638
16Internacional3491114-438
17Corinthians3491015-637
18Gremio3491015-937
19Remo3461117-2029
20Chapecoense-sc334920-3521

More Serie A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for RB Bragantino vs Vitoria?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win RB Bragantino vs Vitoria?

On our numbers RB Bragantino have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Vitoria 15%.

How many goals will there be in RB Bragantino vs Vitoria?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for RB Bragantino vs Vitoria?

Our predicted score is RB Bragantino 1–0 Vitoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is RB Bragantino vs Vitoria?

RB Bragantino vs Vitoria (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.