Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSantos to win ✗59% · @1.72
Double chanceSantos or draw ✗83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27
Santos vs Coritiba: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 17 May the Serie A brings Santos against Coritiba at Neo Química Arena. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Santos are 9th, upper half, on 47 points after 34 matches; Coritiba are 12th (lower half) with 42.
Current form
Santos, last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Coritiba, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Coritiba, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Santos, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (13 May 2026) it ended Coritiba 0–2 Santos. The last 2 head-to-heads: Santos 1 win, Coritiba 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santos 1.8 xG, Coritiba 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santos 59%, draw 23%, Coritiba 17%.
Lower-risk option: Santos or draw (83%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santos 2–0 Coritiba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santos59%fair 1.69 · @1.72
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.35
Coritiba17%fair 5.71 · @5.30
2.67Expected goals
1.83Santos xG
0.84Coritiba xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Santos 1.8 – 0.8 Coritiba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Santos
Coritiba
Attack vs Serie A average
+11%
-20%
Goals conceded vs average
-7%
+18%
Our expected goals here
2.01
0.86
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Santos vs Coritiba?
On our numbers Santos have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Coritiba 17%.
How many goals will there be in Santos vs Coritiba?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santos vs Coritiba?
Our predicted score is Santos 2–0 Coritiba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Santos vs Coritiba?
Santos vs Coritiba (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Neo Química Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
