Value bet: Fluminense to win @ 3.30 – our chance 36% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBotafogo to win ✗38% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.87
Botafogo vs Fluminense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fluminense travel to face Botafogo on Sunday 9 August in the Serie A, with Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Botafogo are 11th, lower half, on 42 points after 34 matches; Fluminense are 4th (among the top four) with 57. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Botafogo, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cruzeiro, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Fluminense, last 5: LDDDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Vasco DA Gama, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Botafogo, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Fluminense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Botafogo 1.3 xG, Fluminense 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Botafogo 38%, draw 26%, Fluminense 36%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Fluminense to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botafogo 1–1 Fluminense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Botafogo38%fair 2.66 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.25
Fluminense36%fair 2.77 · @3.30
2.68Expected goals
1.27Botafogo xG
1.41Fluminense xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Botafogo 1.3 – 1.4 Fluminense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Botafogo
Fluminense
Attack vs Serie A average
-23%
+22%
Goals conceded vs average
+6%
-8%
Our expected goals here
1.08
1.48
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botafogo to win✗
38%
2.66
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.73
Draw no bet
Botafogo (draw no bet)
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Botafogo +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.10
First team to score
Fluminense to score first✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fluminense / FT Fluminense✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.87
–
Recent results
Botafogo – last 6
WDWLWW
26 Jul
@ Cruzeiro
1–0
W
23 Jul
vs Vitoria
0–0
D
16 Jul
vs Santos
2–1
W
30 May
@ Bahia
1–2
L
27 May
@ Caracas FC
3–1
W
21 May
@ Independiente Petrolero
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Fluminense – last 6
LDDDDW
6 Aug
vs Vasco DA Gama
1–3
L
1 Aug
@ Vasco DA Gama
0–0
D
30 Jul
vs Bahia
0–0
D
26 Jul
@ Gremio
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs RB Bragantino
1–1
D
12 Jul
vs Bahia
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Botafogo and Fluminense.
What is the prediction for Botafogo vs Fluminense?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Botafogo vs Fluminense?
On our numbers Botafogo have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Fluminense 36%.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo vs Fluminense?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botafogo vs Fluminense?
Our predicted score is Botafogo 1–1 Fluminense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Botafogo vs Fluminense?
Botafogo vs Fluminense (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
