Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCruzeiro to win ✓58% · @1.69
Double chanceCruzeiro or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Cruzeiro vs Mirassol: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 9 August: Cruzeiro v Mirassol in the Serie A, played at Governador Magalhães Pinto. In the table, Cruzeiro are 3rd, among the top four, on 60 points after 34 matches; Mirassol are 14th (lower half) with 40. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Cruzeiro, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Chapecoense-sc, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Mirassol, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Gremio, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cruzeiro 1.8 xG, Mirassol 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cruzeiro 58%, draw 24%, Mirassol 18%.
Lower-risk option: Cruzeiro or draw (82%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cruzeiro 1–1 Mirassol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cruzeiro58%fair 1.72 · @1.69
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.60
Mirassol18%fair 5.66 · @5.00
2.78Expected goals
1.85Cruzeiro xG
0.93Mirassol xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Cruzeiro 1.8 – 0.9 Mirassol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cruzeiro
Mirassol
Attack vs Serie A average
+35%
-9%
Goals conceded vs average
-1%
-2%
Our expected goals here
2.03
1.03
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cruzeiro to win✓
58%
1.72
1.69
Double chance
Cruzeiro or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.90 ▲
Draw no bet
Cruzeiro (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Mirassol +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.09
First team to score
Cruzeiro to score first
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Cruzeiro ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cruzeiro / FT Cruzeiro✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.13
–
Recent results
Cruzeiro – last 6
WDWLWL
5 Aug
vs Chapecoense-sc
2–0
W
2 Aug
@ Chapecoense-sc
0–0
D
31 Jul
@ Coritiba
1–0
W
26 Jul
vs Botafogo
0–1
L
23 Jul
@ Internacional
2–1
W
12 Jul
@ Gremio
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mirassol – last 6
LDWDWL
5 Aug
@ Gremio
0–1
L
2 Aug
vs Gremio
1–1
D
29 Jul
vs Remo
2–1
W
26 Jul
@ Vasco DA Gama
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Gremio
2–1
W
30 May
@ Atletico Paranaense
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cruzeiro and Mirassol.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Cruzeiro vs Mirassol?
On our numbers Cruzeiro have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mirassol 18%.
How many goals will there be in Cruzeiro vs Mirassol?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruzeiro vs Mirassol?
Our predicted score is Cruzeiro 1–1 Mirassol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Cruzeiro vs Mirassol?
Cruzeiro vs Mirassol (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Governador Magalhães Pinto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
