Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultFlamengo to win ✓78% · @1.21
Double chanceFlamengo or draw ✓93% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗12% · fair 8.25
Flamengo vs Vitoria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 9 August the Serie A brings Flamengo against Vitoria at Estádio do Maracanã. Kick-off: 23:30 WAT. In the table, Flamengo are 1st, leading the league, on 76 points after 34 matches; Vitoria are 15th (lower half) with 38. There are 38 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Flamengo, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Internacional, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Vitoria, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Atletico Paranaense, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Flamengo, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Vitoria.
Head to head
When they last met (15 May 2026) it ended Vitoria 2–0 Flamengo. The last 2 head-to-heads: Flamengo 1 win, Vitoria 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Flamengo 2.5 xG, Vitoria 0.6 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 49% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Flamengo 78%, draw 16%, Vitoria 7%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Flamengo 2–0 Vitoria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Flamengo78%fair 1.29 · @1.21
Draw16%fair 6.41 · @5.70
Vitoria7%fair 14.59 · @14.50
3.01Expected goals
2.45Flamengo xG
0.56Vitoria xG
49%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–015%
3–012%
1–012%
2–18%
4–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Flamengo 2.5 – 0.6 Vitoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Flamengo
Vitoria
Attack vs Serie A average
+54%
-32%
Goals conceded vs average
-29%
+16%
Our expected goals here
2.73
0.55
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Flamengo vs Vitoria?
On our numbers Flamengo have a 78% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Vitoria 7%.
How many goals will there be in Flamengo vs Vitoria?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Flamengo vs Vitoria?
Our predicted score is Flamengo 2–0 Vitoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Flamengo vs Vitoria?
Flamengo vs Vitoria (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
