Coritiba vs Chapecoense-sc: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chapecoense-sc travel to face Coritiba on Sunday 9 August in the Serie A, with Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT. In the table, Coritiba are 12th, lower half, on 42 points after 34 matches; Chapecoense-sc are 20th (in the drop zone) with 21. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Coritiba, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cruzeiro, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Chapecoense-sc, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Cruzeiro, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Coritiba, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Chapecoense-sc.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Coritiba 1.8 xG, Chapecoense-sc 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Coritiba 59%, draw 23%, Chapecoense-sc 18%.
Lower-risk option: Coritiba or draw (82%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Coritiba 1–1 Chapecoense-sc. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Coritiba59%fair 1.69 · @1.61
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.75
Chapecoense-sc18%fair 5.65 · @5.40
2.79Expected goals
1.84Coritiba xG
0.96Chapecoense-sc xG
52%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Coritiba 1.8 – 1.0 Chapecoense-sc expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Coritiba
Chapecoense-sc
Attack vs Serie A average
-20%
-22%
Goals conceded vs average
+18%
+53%
Our expected goals here
1.88
1.06
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Coritiba to win✓
59%
1.69
1.61
Double chance
Coritiba or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Draw no bet
Coritiba (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Chapecoense-sc +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.11
First team to score
Coritiba to score first✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Coritiba ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Coritiba / FT Coritiba✓
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
Coritiba – last 6
LDLLWW
31 Jul
vs Cruzeiro
0–1
L
26 Jul
@ RB Bragantino
0–0
D
22 Jul
vs Palmeiras
1–3
L
30 May
@ Flamengo
0–3
L
26 May
vs Bahia
3–2
W
17 May
@ Santos
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chapecoense-sc – last 6
LDDLLL
5 Aug
@ Cruzeiro
0–2
L
2 Aug
vs Cruzeiro
0–0
D
25 Jul
@ Santos
2–2
D
23 Jul
vs Flamengo
0–4
L
17 Jul
@ Bahia
0–2
L
4 Jun
@ Avai
0–3
L
0.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Coritiba and Chapecoense-sc.
What is the prediction for Coritiba vs Chapecoense-sc?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Coritiba vs Chapecoense-sc?
On our numbers Coritiba have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chapecoense-sc 18%.
How many goals will there be in Coritiba vs Chapecoense-sc?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Coritiba vs Chapecoense-sc?
Our predicted score is Coritiba 1–1 Chapecoense-sc, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Coritiba vs Chapecoense-sc?
Coritiba vs Chapecoense-sc (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
