Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Bahia to win @ 1.90 – our chance 63% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBahia to win ✓63% · @1.90
Double chanceBahia or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.60
Bahia vs Internacional: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 30 August the Serie A brings Bahia against Internacional at Arena Fonte Nova. Kick-off: 23:30 WAT. In the table, Bahia are 6th, upper half, on 53 points after 34 matches; Internacional are 16th (lower half) with 38. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Bahia, last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Vitoria, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Internacional, last 5: DDDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Gremio, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Internacional 0–1 Bahia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bahia 1.8 xG, Internacional 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bahia 63%, draw 22%, Internacional 15%.
Lower-risk option: Bahia or draw (85%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Bahia to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bahia or draw (85%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bahia 1–0 Internacional. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bahia63%fair 1.58 · @1.90
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.50
Internacional15%fair 6.83 · @3.90
2.54Expected goals
1.81Bahia xG
0.73Internacional xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Bahia 1.8 – 0.7 Internacional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Bahia vs Internacional?
Our pick is Bahia or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bahia vs Internacional?
On our numbers Bahia have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Internacional 15%.
How many goals will there be in Bahia vs Internacional?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bahia vs Internacional?
Our predicted score is Bahia 1–0 Internacional, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Bahia vs Internacional?
Bahia vs Internacional (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Fonte Nova.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
