Value bet: Cruzeiro to win @ 2.98 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCruzeiro to win ✗40% · @2.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.90
Vasco DA Gama vs Cruzeiro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 30 August the Serie A brings Vasco DA Gama against Cruzeiro at Estádio São Januário. Kick-off: 01:20 WAT. In the table, Vasco DA Gama are 13th, lower half, on 41 points after 33 matches; Cruzeiro are 3rd (among the top four) with 60. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Vasco DA Gama, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Vitoria, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Cruzeiro, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Atletico-MG, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Cruzeiro, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Vasco DA Gama.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Mar 2026) it ended Cruzeiro 3–3 Vasco DA Gama.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vasco DA Gama 1.3 xG, Cruzeiro 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vasco DA Gama 37%, draw 23%, Cruzeiro 40%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Cruzeiro to win @2.98 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vasco DA Gama 1–1 Cruzeiro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vasco DA Gama37%fair 2.69 · @2.34
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.25
Cruzeiro40%fair 2.50 · @2.98
2.65Expected goals
1.30Vasco DA Gama xG
1.36Cruzeiro xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Vasco DA Gama 1.3 – 1.4 Cruzeiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Vasco DA Gama vs Cruzeiro?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Cruzeiro?
On our numbers Vasco DA Gama have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cruzeiro 40%.
How many goals will there be in Vasco DA Gama vs Cruzeiro?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vasco DA Gama vs Cruzeiro?
Our predicted score is Vasco DA Gama 1–1 Cruzeiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Vasco DA Gama vs Cruzeiro?
Vasco DA Gama vs Cruzeiro (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 01:20 (West Africa Time) at Estádio São Januário.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
