Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 11.63
Gremio vs Chapecoense-sc: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gremio welcome Chapecoense-sc to Arena do Grêmio for a Serie A fixture on Sunday 30 August (22:30 WAT). In the table, Gremio are 18th, in the drop zone, on 37 points after 34 matches; Chapecoense-sc are 20th (in the drop zone) with 21. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Gremio, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Internacional, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Chapecoense-sc, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sao Paulo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Mar 2026) it ended Chapecoense-sc 1–1 Gremio.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gremio 2.0 xG, Chapecoense-sc 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gremio 67%, draw 20%, Chapecoense-sc 13%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gremio 2–0 Chapecoense-sc. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gremio67%fair 1.50 · @1.52
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @4.00
Chapecoense-sc13%fair 7.82 · @6.25
2.73Expected goals
1.99Gremio xG
0.74Chapecoense-sc xG
49%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Gremio 2.0 – 0.7 Chapecoense-sc expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Gremio vs Chapecoense-sc?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Gremio vs Chapecoense-sc?
On our numbers Gremio have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Chapecoense-sc 13%.
How many goals will there be in Gremio vs Chapecoense-sc?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gremio vs Chapecoense-sc?
Our predicted score is Gremio 2–0 Chapecoense-sc, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Gremio vs Chapecoense-sc?
Gremio vs Chapecoense-sc (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena do Grêmio.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
