Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Corinthians to win @ 1.83 – our chance 63% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCorinthians to win ✗63% · @1.83
Double chanceCorinthians or draw ✗85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.73
Corinthians vs Santos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Sunday 30 August: Corinthians v Santos in the Serie A, played at Neo Química Arena. In the table, Corinthians are 17th, lower half, on 37 points after 34 matches; Santos are 9th (upper half) with 47.
Current form
Corinthians, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Coritiba, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Santos, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Palmeiras, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Santos 1–1 Corinthians.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Corinthians 1.8 xG, Santos 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Corinthians 63%, draw 23%, Santos 15%.
Lower-risk option: Corinthians or draw (85%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Corinthians to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Corinthians or draw (85%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Corinthians 1–0 Santos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Corinthians63%fair 1.60 · @1.83
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.40
Santos15%fair 6.88 · @4.40
2.48Expected goals
1.77Corinthians xG
0.71Santos xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Corinthians 1.8 – 0.7 Santos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Corinthians or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Corinthians vs Santos?
On our numbers Corinthians have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Santos 15%.
How many goals will there be in Corinthians vs Santos?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Corinthians vs Santos?
Our predicted score is Corinthians 1–0 Santos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Corinthians vs Santos?
Corinthians vs Santos (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Neo Química Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
