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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Flamengo v Botafogo: numbers & prediction

Serie A · Brazil · Estádio do Maracanã
3–0
FT
Flamengo 69%Draw 21%Botafogo 11% Expected goals 2.23 – 0.80
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultFlamengo to win ✓69% · @1.40
Double chanceFlamengo or draw ✓89% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.41

Flamengo vs Botafogo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Botafogo travel to face Flamengo on Sunday 30 August in the Serie A, with Estádio do Maracanã the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Flamengo are 1st, leading the league, on 76 points after 34 matches; Botafogo are 11th (lower half) with 42. There are 34 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Flamengo, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cruzeiro, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Botafogo, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Atletico Paranaense, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Flamengo, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Botafogo.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Botafogo 0–3 Flamengo. The last 2 head-to-heads: Flamengo 2 wins, Botafogo 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Flamengo 2.2 xG, Botafogo 0.8 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 56% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Flamengo 69%, draw 21%, Botafogo 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Flamengo 2–0 Botafogo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Flamengo69%fair 1.46 · @1.40
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @4.50
Botafogo11%fair 9.47 · @7.50
3.03Expected goals
2.23Flamengo xG
0.80Botafogo xG
56%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%

From our goals model: Flamengo 2.2 – 0.8 Botafogo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFlamengo to win ✓69%1.461.40
Double chanceFlamengo or draw ✓89%1.121.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.781.80
Draw no betFlamengo (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapFlamengo -1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.261.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.721.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.571.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.251.20
First team to scoreFlamengo to score first ✓70%1.43–
Half-time resultFlamengo ahead at half-time ✓51%1.97–
Half-time / full-timeHT Flamengo / FT Flamengo ✓46%2.16–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.41–

Recent results

Flamengo – last 6

LWWDWD
23 Aug@ Cruzeiro1–2L
20 Augvs Cruzeiro2–1W
16 Aug@ Mirassol5–1W
13 Aug@ Cruzeiro1–1D
9 Augvs Vitoria2–0W
29 Jul@ Internacional1–1D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Botafogo – last 6

LWLLDW
25 Augvs Atletico Paranaense2–3L
21 Augvs Cienciano1–0W
16 Aug@ Vitoria0–1L
14 Aug@ Cienciano1–6L
9 Augvs Fluminense1–1D
26 Jul@ Cruzeiro1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026Botafogo v Flamengo0–3
15 Feb 2026Botafogo v Flamengo1–2
Flamengo vs Botafogo head-to-head page →

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo342374+4276
2Palmeiras3421103+3973
3Cruzeiro3418610+760
4Fluminense341699+1357
5Atletico Paranaense3415910+854
6Bahia3414119+553
7Atletico-MG3414812+450
8RB Bragantino3413813+547
9Santos34121111+147
10Sao Paulo3412814044
11Botafogo3411914-742
12Coritiba3411914-1142
13Vasco DA Gama3311814-741
14Mirassol34101014-940
15Vitoria3410816-1638
16Internacional3491114-438
17Corinthians3491015-637
18Gremio3491015-937
19Remo3461117-2029
20Chapecoense-sc334920-3521

More Serie A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Flamengo vs Botafogo?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Flamengo vs Botafogo?

On our numbers Flamengo have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Botafogo 11%.

How many goals will there be in Flamengo vs Botafogo?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Flamengo vs Botafogo?

Our predicted score is Flamengo 2–0 Botafogo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Flamengo vs Botafogo?

Flamengo vs Botafogo (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.