Mirassol vs Palmeiras: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Palmeiras travel to face Mirassol on Sunday 30 August in the Serie A, with Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia the venue – the ball rolls at 22:30 WAT. In the table, Mirassol are 14th, lower half, on 40 points after 34 matches; Palmeiras are 2nd (among the top four) with 73. There are 33 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Mirassol, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Santos, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Palmeiras, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Santos, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Palmeiras, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Mirassol.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mirassol 1.1 xG, Palmeiras 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mirassol 27%, draw 23%, Palmeiras 50%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mirassol 1–1 Palmeiras. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mirassol27%fair 3.66 · @3.70
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.30
Palmeiras50%fair 2.00 · @2.02
2.60Expected goals
1.05Mirassol xG
1.54Palmeiras xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Mirassol 1.1 – 1.5 Palmeiras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palmeiras to win✗
50%
2.00
2.02
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.80
Draw no bet
Palmeiras (draw no bet)
65%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Mirassol +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.08
First team to score
Palmeiras to score first
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palmeiras / FT Palmeiras✗
29%
3.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.70
–
Recent results
Mirassol – last 6
DDLDLL
23 Aug
@ Santos
1–1
D
20 Aug
@ LDU de Quito
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Flamengo
1–5
L
13 Aug
vs LDU de Quito
1–1
D
9 Aug
@ Cruzeiro
1–3
L
5 Aug
@ Gremio
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Palmeiras – last 6
WWWLDD
27 Aug
vs Santos
3–0
W
23 Aug
vs Vasco DA Gama
4–1
W
19 Aug
@ Cerro Porteno
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Fluminense
2–3
L
12 Aug
vs Cerro Porteno
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs Internacional
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mirassol and Palmeiras.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Mirassol vs Palmeiras?
On our numbers Mirassol have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Palmeiras 50%.
How many goals will there be in Mirassol vs Palmeiras?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mirassol vs Palmeiras?
Our predicted score is Mirassol 1–1 Palmeiras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Mirassol vs Palmeiras?
Mirassol vs Palmeiras (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
