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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Club Queretaro v Necaxa: numbers & prediction

Liga MX · Mexico · Estadio La Corregidora
3–1
FT

Necaxa

WWDLL
Club Queretaro 40%Draw 26%Necaxa 34% Expected goals 1.40 – 1.21
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultClub Queretaro to win ✓40% · @2.46
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.45

Club Queretaro vs Necaxa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Club Queretaro welcome Necaxa to Estadio La Corregidora for a Liga MX fixture on Sunday 12 April (00:00 WAT). In the table, Club Queretaro are 12th, lower half, on 20 points after 15 matches; Necaxa are 17th (in the drop zone) with 13.

Current form

Club Queretaro, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FC Juarez, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Necaxa, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Mazatlán, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Club Queretaro 1.4 xG, Necaxa 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Club Queretaro 40%, draw 26%, Necaxa 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Club Queretaro 1–1 Necaxa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Club Queretaro40%fair 2.52 · @2.46
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.40
Necaxa34%fair 2.90 · @2.72
2.61Expected goals
1.40Club Queretaro xG
1.21Necaxa xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Club Queretaro 1.4 – 1.2 Necaxa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Club QueretaroNecaxa
Attack vs Liga MX average-20%-26%
Goals conceded vs average+4%+7%
Our expected goals here1.381.08

Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultClub Queretaro to win ✓40%2.522.46
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.67
Draw no betClub Queretaro (draw no bet) ✓54%1.87–
Asian handicapNecaxa +1 (Asian handicap) ✗75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.361.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%1.991.91
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.391.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.161.11
First team to scoreClub Queretaro to score first ✓50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Club Queretaro / FT Club Queretaro ✓24%4.13–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.45–

Recent results

Club Queretaro – last 6

DWDDLL
8 Aprvs FC Juarez1–1D
5 Aprvs Toluca1–0W
22 Mar@ Atlas0–0D
16 Mar@ Tigres UANL0–0D
8 Marvs Club America1–2L
5 Mar@ Monterrey0–4L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Necaxa – last 6

WWDLLL
4 Aprvs Mazatlán2–1W
21 Marvs Club Tijuana3–0W
14 Mar@ Puebla0–0D
7 Marvs U.N.A.M. - Pumas0–1L
4 Mar@ Pachuca1–2L
1 Mar@ Leon1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Club Queretaro and Necaxa.

Club Queretaro vs Necaxa head-to-head page →

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cruz Azul161024+1132
2Club America16862+1530
3Guadalajara Chivas16862+1130
4Toluca16763+1427
5Atlas16835-327
6Santos Laguna16817+325
7Club Leon16655+223
8CF Pachuca16646+922
9Club Tijuana16574+322
10Monterrey15636+121
11U.N.A.M. - Pumas16565-221
12Club Queretaro15627-520
13Puebla16547-419
14Atletico San Luis16547-519
15Tigres UANL16367-815
16Atlante FC16358-1014
17Necaxa16349-1113
18FC Juarez163211-2111

More Liga MX predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Club Queretaro vs Necaxa?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Club Queretaro vs Necaxa?

On our numbers Club Queretaro have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Necaxa 34%.

How many goals will there be in Club Queretaro vs Necaxa?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Club Queretaro vs Necaxa?

Our predicted score is Club Queretaro 1–1 Necaxa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Club Queretaro vs Necaxa?

Club Queretaro vs Necaxa (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Corregidora.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.